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Connor Byrne

Washington ESD unemployment claims - how much unemployment results from $10 minimum wage floor?

I've been trying to understand how Washington state's minimum wage policies affect unemployment rates and claims. With our current minimum wage around $16/hour, I'm curious about the economic impacts. My brother lost his entry-level job last month and is now filing for Washington ESD benefits. The employer said they couldn't afford to keep all their workers at the current wage rates. Has anyone else experienced job loss related to wage floor policies? I'm trying to figure out if this is a common reason people end up needing unemployment benefits in Washington.

Yara Abboud

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The relationship between minimum wage and unemployment is complex. Washington ESD doesn't track job loss reasons that specifically, but economic research shows mixed results. Some studies find small employment effects, others find none. What matters more for your brother is getting his claim processed quickly.

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Connor Byrne

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That makes sense. He's still waiting for his adjudication to complete. Been about 2 weeks now with no updates on his claim status.

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PixelPioneer

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2 weeks isn't too bad actually, I've seen adjudication take 4-6 weeks lately

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I work in labor economics and can tell you that a $10 wage floor would actually be below Washington's current minimum wage. But to answer your question - most research suggests employment effects are minimal, maybe 1-3% reduction in low-skilled jobs. The bigger issue is getting through to Washington ESD when you need help with claims.

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Connor Byrne

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You're right about the $10 being lower than current rates. My brother has been trying to call Washington ESD for days but keeps getting busy signals or hung up on.

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That's the real problem - the phone system is completely overwhelmed. I'd suggest he try calling right at 8am when they open.

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Paolo Rizzo

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Had a similar situation with my unemployment claim getting stuck. Couldn't reach anyone at Washington ESD for weeks. Finally found this service called Claimyr (claimyr.com) that helped me get through to an actual agent. They have some kind of system that gets you connected faster. There's a demo video at https://youtu.be/7DieNd3C7zQ that shows how it works.

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Connor Byrne

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Interesting, never heard of that. How much does something like that cost?

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Paolo Rizzo

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They don't really focus on pricing details, more about solving the problem of actually reaching someone. Worth checking out if you're stuck.

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Amina Sy

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Sounds too good to be true honestly. How do we know it's legit?

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This is exactly why I hate the minimum wage increases! Small businesses can't afford to keep everyone and then we all end up on unemployment. My cousin's restaurant had to lay off 3 people last year because of wage costs.

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Yara Abboud

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That's anecdotal though. Studies of Washington's wage increases haven't shown massive job losses. Restaurant industry has high turnover anyway.

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Tell that to the people who lost their jobs! The studies don't capture everything that happens in real life.

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same boat here, filed my claim 3 weeks ago and still pending

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Connor Byrne

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Have you tried calling? I keep hearing different advice about the best times to get through.

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tried calling like 50 times, never get through. might try that claimyr thing someone mentioned

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PixelPioneer

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The wage floor discussion is interesting but the real issue is Washington ESD's processing delays. I've been helping people with claims for years and it's gotten worse since COVID. Adjudication used to take 1-2 weeks, now it's often a month or more.

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Connor Byrne

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That's really frustrating. People need these benefits to pay rent and buy food. A month delay is devastating.

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PixelPioneer

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Exactly. And when you can't get through on the phone to check status or resolve issues, it makes everything worse.

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NebulaNomad

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I'm an economist and can provide some context here. Research on minimum wage effects typically finds elasticities between -0.1 to -0.3, meaning a 10% wage increase reduces employment by 1-3%. But Washington's gradual increases have been studied extensively with minimal negative effects observed.

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Connor Byrne

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That's helpful context. So the job losses aren't necessarily massive from wage policies?

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NebulaNomad

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Correct. The bigger unemployment drivers are typically economic cycles, technological changes, and industry shifts rather than wage floors.

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Javier Garcia

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But that doesn't help people who are unemployed right now and can't get their claims processed

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Emma Taylor

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Whatever the cause of unemployment, the Washington ESD system is broken. I've been trying to reach them about my overpayment notice for 2 months. Getting ready to try anything at this point.

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Paolo Rizzo

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That's exactly when I used Claimyr - when I was desperate and had tried everything else. It actually worked for me.

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Emma Taylor

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Maybe I should look into it. This is getting ridiculous.

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ok but can we talk about the actual economics here? a $10 price floor in Washington would be BELOW our current minimum wage so it wouldn't cause any unemployment at all. this whole question doesn't make sense in our context

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Connor Byrne

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You're right, I should have been clearer. I was thinking more theoretically about wage floors in general and how they might relate to unemployment claims.

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gotcha. well the theory says some job losses but empirical evidence in washington suggests minimal impact

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I lost my job at a fast food place last month supposedly because of labor costs. Manager said they couldn't afford to keep everyone with the wage increases. Now I'm stuck waiting for my Washington ESD claim to process and I can't get anyone on the phone to help.

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PixelPioneer

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That's rough. Fast food does have thin margins but also high turnover regardless of wages. Focus on getting your claim processed - that's what matters now.

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Yeah you're right. Just frustrated with the whole system. Can't even get through to ask basic questions about my claim status.

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The research is pretty clear that modern minimum wage increases don't cause significant unemployment. But Washington ESD's phone system causing stress unemployment - that's a real thing! 😅

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Connor Byrne

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Haha that's probably true. The stress of trying to reach them is definitely real.

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CosmosCaptain

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For real though, I spent 6 hours on hold yesterday and got disconnected right when someone answered

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This whole thread shows the real problem isn't wage policy causing unemployment - it's Washington ESD's inability to help people who are already unemployed. We need better systems for processing claims and answering questions.

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Connor Byrne

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Absolutely agree. The system needs major improvements for people who need help.

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Omar Fawzi

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In the meantime services like Claimyr are filling a real need. Shouldn't have to pay extra just to reach a government agency though.

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Chloe Wilson

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Been following this discussion and wanted to share my experience. Used Claimyr last month when I couldn't get through about my adjudication delay. They got me connected to an agent within an hour who was able to explain exactly what was holding up my claim. Turned out to be a simple verification issue that got resolved immediately.

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Connor Byrne

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That sounds like exactly what my brother needs. His claim has been in adjudication for weeks with no explanation.

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Chloe Wilson

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Yeah, that's exactly the kind of situation where talking to an actual person makes all the difference. The online system doesn't always show what's really happening.

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Diego Mendoza

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can someone explain what adjudication actually means? my claim shows this status but i have no idea what it means or how long it takes

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PixelPioneer

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Adjudication means they're reviewing your claim to determine if you're eligible for benefits. Could be checking your work history, reason for separation, or other eligibility factors.

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Diego Mendoza

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ok that makes sense. mine has been like this for 3 weeks now. is that normal?

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PixelPioneer

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Unfortunately yes, 3-4 weeks is becoming pretty normal lately. Used to be much faster.

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Going back to the original economics question - most credible studies find that moderate minimum wage increases have minimal employment effects. The CBO estimated a $15 federal minimum wage would reduce employment by about 1.4 million jobs nationally, but also lift wages for 27 million workers. It's a complex tradeoff.

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Connor Byrne

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Thanks for the detailed economic perspective. It seems like the employment effects are relatively small compared to other factors.

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Exactly. And Washington has implemented increases gradually which helps businesses adjust. The bigger challenge is supporting people who are unemployed for any reason.

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StellarSurfer

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UPDATE: My brother finally got through to Washington ESD using that Claimyr service someone mentioned. Turns out his claim was held up because of a simple address verification issue. Agent fixed it on the spot and his benefits started processing immediately. Would have saved weeks of stress if he'd tried this earlier.

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Paolo Rizzo

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That's great news! Exactly the kind of simple issue that gets resolved quickly once you can actually talk to someone.

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Emma Taylor

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Ok I'm definitely going to try this for my overpayment issue. Been waiting way too long for answers.

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Connor Byrne

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Thanks everyone for the help and discussion. Really appreciate the economic insights and practical solutions!

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