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Will Social Security penalize me based on early-year earnings projection before I actually exceed the income limit?

I just started collecting my Social Security retirement benefits early (I'm 63) and picked up a part-time retail job to supplement my income. According to the earnings limit for 2025, I should be able to make around $23,400 without getting hit with a penalty since I'm under FRA. My question is about how SSA monitors this - do they proactively estimate my annual earnings based on my first few months of work, or do they wait until I actually go over the limit? I'm concerned because my hours are front-loaded in the first half of the year (working 25-30 hours weekly January-April for inventory season), but I'll scale back to just 10-12 hours weekly for the rest of the year. So my first few months of earnings might make it look like I'm on track to exceed the limit, even though my annual total will end up below it. Will this trigger any penalty or benefit reduction before I actually exceed anything? I don't want to start getting reduced checks or have to deal with explaining my work schedule to SSA if I can avoid it. Last thing I need is benefit payment issues when my budget is already tight. Anyone deal with this before?

Malia Ponder

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SSA doesn't typically make projections about your annual earnings based on partial year earnings - they wait until the earnings are actually reported. If you're under the annual limit when all is said and done, you won't face any deductions. However, you need to be proactive about reporting if you KNOW you'll exceed the limit. Since you're confident you'll stay under $23,400 for 2025, you should be fine. Just keep track of your earnings carefully. Your yearly earnings are reported to SSA through your W-2, but they also receive quarterly wage information from your employer.

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Thanks for the info! So basically they won't reduce my benefits unless my actual reported earnings exceed the limit? That's a relief. I'm keeping detailed records of my hours and will make absolutely sure I stay under. Do you know if there's a way to check how much SSA thinks I've earned so far during the year?

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Kyle Wallace

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i got caught by this last yr. they DON'T forecast but if u actually go over the limit even by a few $$ theyll want ALL the money back from months u earned too much. so watch ur earnings like a hawk especially dec!!!

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Oh that's concerning! So I need to be really careful especially in December to make sure I don't accidentally go over. Were you able to work something out with them when that happened to you?

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Ryder Ross

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Actually depending on how much you're making monthly, Social Security does sometimes estimate your annual earnings - especially if you report monthly income that would put you on track to exceed. I had a neighbor who got his checks reduced midyear because his first 3 months of work were too high. Had to wait until tax season to get that money back! SSA is super inconsistent with this stuff, honestly.

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This isn't quite accurate. SSA doesn't reduce benefits based on an estimate of future earnings. They reduce benefits when actual earnings exceed monthly or annual limits. The Monthly Earnings Test allows SSA to pay full benefits for any month you earn under the monthly limit ($1,950 in 2025) regardless of annual total. If your neighbor's benefits were reduced mid-year, it was likely because he actually exceeded the limit in those months. Once earnings are below the monthly limit in later months, full benefits resume, and SSA reconciles after tax season when they get the W-2 information.

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Henry Delgado

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My two cents - just call them and explain your work situation! I was in a similar boat and speaking to an actual person at SSA cleared everything up. They noted in my file that my work was seasonal. Of course, getting through to SSA on the phone is a nightmare these days...

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Olivia Kay

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I've been helping seniors navigate this exact issue for years, and calling SSA directly is definitely the best approach. In your case, using Claimyr.com can save you hours of frustration trying to reach an agent. It holds your place in line and calls you when an agent is available. I recently helped my sister use it - she watched their demo (https://youtu.be/Z-BRbJw3puU) and got through to SSA in under 30 minutes instead of waiting on hold for hours. Once you reach them, ask specifically about the Monthly Earnings Test since your hours are front-loaded - that might help your situation.

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Joshua Hellan

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Im dealing with the same thing rn but for SSDI not retirement. Totally confusing!!! Good luck!

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Malia Ponder

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Just a clarification - SSDI has a completely different earnings test called Substantial Gainful Activity (SGA) which is $1,550/month in 2025. The annual earnings limit ($23,400) only applies to retirement benefits before FRA. The rules are quite different for these two programs.

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To address your specific question: Social Security is reactive, not proactive, with the earnings test. They'll only take action if: 1. You report that you expect to exceed the annual limit ($23,400 for 2025 for someone under FRA) 2. Your actual earnings reported by your employer exceed the limit 3. Your monthly earnings exceed the monthly limit ($1,950 in 2025) For your situation with front-loaded hours, you should be aware of the Monthly Earnings Test. This allows you to receive full benefits for any month you earn under the monthly limit, regardless of annual total. So even if you exceed the annual limit, you could still receive full benefits for months where you work reduced hours and earn less than $1,950. I recommend keeping detailed records of your monthly earnings. If you stay under both the annual and monthly limits as planned, you shouldn't have any issues with benefit reductions.

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Thank you for this detailed explanation! The monthly earnings test sounds like it could be a real safety net for my situation. So just to be crystal clear - as long as I stay under $23,400 annually, AND under $1,950 for any individual month, my benefits won't be reduced at all during the year? No estimating or forecasting on their part?

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Kyle Wallace

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ur making this way too complicated. just dont make more than the limit and ur fine! they dont care about month to month just the total at the end of the yr.

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Actually, this isn't completely accurate. While the annual limit is important, the Monthly Earnings Test can be very beneficial, especially for those with seasonal or variable work. If the OP exceeds the annual limit but has months below $1,950, those months' benefits are protected. Understanding both tests gives more flexibility in work planning.

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Thanks everyone for the helpful information! I'm going to: 1. Track my monthly earnings carefully to stay under both the annual limit of $23,400 and the monthly limit of $1,950 once I reduce my hours 2. Use that Claimyr service to reach SSA without the wait and specifically ask about the Monthly Earnings Test 3. Ask them to note in my file that my work is seasonal/front-loaded It's a relief to know they don't typically forecast or estimate based on early-year earnings. I appreciate all the advice!

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