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Emily Thompson

Why is low unemployment bad for California EDD benefit claims?

So I've been doing a lot of reading while I'm waiting on my California EDD claim and I keep seeing news articles saying that low unemployment is actually a bad thing? Like economists keep saying the unemployment rate being too low causes problems but I genuinely don't understand how that's possible. If fewer people are unemployed doesn't that mean more people have jobs and that's good? I'm currently dealing with my own UI claim and trying to understand the bigger picture of how this all works. Does low unemployment affect how California EDD processes claims or how long adjudication takes? Or is this more of a macroeconomics thing that doesn't really touch individual claimants at all? I feel like I should understand this stuff better since I'm literally living through the unemployment system right now.

Great question honestly. So the short version is that extremely low unemployment can actually create problems for the economy in a few ways. When unemployment gets too low, employers struggle to find workers which drives wages up fast, which then drives up prices for everything (inflation). The Federal Reserve actually targets something called the 'natural rate of unemployment' which is around 4-5% because some level of unemployment is considered healthy for a functioning labor market. It's called frictional unemployment - people between jobs, people changing careers, etc. From a California EDD standpoint though, low unemployment usually means fewer people filing UI claims which actually means faster processing times for those who do file.

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Ok that makes way more sense now. So there's like a sweet spot unemployment rate that keeps prices stable? That's wild that we actually WANT some people to be unemployed for the system to work.

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This is basically Phillips Curve economics 101. Low unemployment = upward wage pressure = inflation. California EDD actually sees claim volume fluctuate a lot based on broader economic conditions.

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yeah but try telling that to someone who just got laid off lol. the 'natural rate' concept feels pretty cold when youre the one filing for benefits

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From someone who's worked in HR for years - when unemployment is super low businesses literally cannot fill positions. I've seen companies offer crazy signing bonuses and still not find qualified applicants. That labor shortage eventually causes businesses to cut back production or raise prices dramatically. So paradoxically some unemployment keeps the whole system from overheating. For California EDD claimants specifically, low unemployment periods usually mean shorter adjudication windows because there's just less volume going through the system.

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Does that mean right now with where unemployment is, my claim should process faster than it would during like a recession period?

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not necessarily because california edd has staffing issues regardless of unemployment rate lol. been waiting 6 weeks on my claim during supposedly 'low' unemployment times

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The staffing point is valid - California EDD's internal processing capacity doesn't always scale perfectly with claim volume. Low unemployment helps but isn't a guarantee of fast processing.

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ok so i was in the same boat as you trying to understand this while dealing with my own california edd claim. the economics stuff is interesting but what i really learned is that when unemployment is low it ALSO means california edd gets less state funding priority sometimes because legislators think the system doesnt need as many resources. so you get this weird situation where low unemployment = less political pressure to fix edd problems. anyway while i was trying to get answers on my own claim i literally could not get through to anyone at california edd for 3 weeks straight. a friend told me about Claimyr (claimyr.com) and i was skeptical but it got me connected to an actual EDD rep within a couple hours. they have a video showing how it works at https://youtu.be/JmuwXR7HA10 - honestly saved me so much stress while i was trying to understand why my claim was stuck in adjudication

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Wait so you're saying low unemployment can actually make california edd WORSE in some ways because of the funding/priority angle? That's counterintuitive but makes sense politically

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I've heard of Claimyr before - did it actually work for getting real answers about your claim status or just generic stuff?

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yeah the edd rep i talked to actually looked at my specific claim and told me exactly what was causing the adjudication hold. way more helpful than the online portal which just says pending forever

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THE WHOLE SYSTEM IS BROKEN AND IT DOESNT MATTER IF UNEMPLOYMENT IS HIGH OR LOW. I filed my weekly claims perfectly for months and still got hit with an overpayment notice. Low unemployment, high unemployment, California EDD finds ways to make claimants suffer either way. Sorry for the rant but I'm so tired of people acting like economic conditions fix the fundamental problems with how EDD operates

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felt this deeply. the overpayment thing is its own nightmare regardless of what the unemployment rate is doing

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The frustration is valid but overpayment notices usually come from reporting issues not from unemployment rate levels. Worth appealing if you reported your wages correctly - you have 30 days from the notice date.

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I know i know. already filed my appeal. just venting because ive been dealing with this for months and the economics lesson feels a little tone deaf when youre in the middle of it

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To add some nuance here - economists distinguish between several types of unemployment that all behave differently. Frictional unemployment (people between jobs) is considered healthy. Structural unemployment (skills mismatch) is more concerning. Cyclical unemployment (from recessions) is what California EDD is really designed to buffer against. When overall unemployment is low it usually means cyclical unemployment is low which is genuinely good. But it doesn't eliminate frictional or structural unemployment which is why California EDD always has active claimants even in strong economies.

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So my situation - got laid off when my company downsized even though the broader economy is fine - is that structural or frictional?

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Sounds like it could be either depending on your industry. If your skills transfer easily to other roles it's more frictional. If your whole sector is shrinking it might be structural. Either way you're legitimately eligible for California EDD UI benefits.

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this is the most educational unemployment forum thread ive ever read honestly

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jumping in because i think theres also a california-specific angle here. CA has one of the higher minimum wages in the country which interacts weirdly with unemployment rates. when unemployment is low in california employers still sometimes do mass layoffs in specific sectors (tech, entertainment) while other sectors are booming. so you get these pockets of high unemployment within a low unemployment state. california edd has to deal with that complexity a lot

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Oh wow that's actually exactly my situation - I'm in tech and got laid off during those big waves last year even though overall CA unemployment wasn't terrible

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yeah tech sector unemployment is its own thing. lots of my friends went through california edd during the tech layoffs. the weekly claim process and job search requirements still apply the same way though

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job search requirements when youre a laid off engineer are kind of ridiculous btw. having to log 3 job search activities per week when youre interviewing at senior level takes time

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honestly before this thread i never thought about why low unemployment could be bad. i always just assumed more jobs = better always. the inflation connection makes sense though. like if everyone has a job and companies are desperate to hire they just keep raising wages and then prices go up and suddenly your unemployment check buys less even if the amount stayed the same

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Exactly - and that's actually part of why California EDD benefit amounts get adjusted periodically. The maximum weekly benefit amount in California has been updated to try to keep pace with cost of living but it always lags behind actual inflation.

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what's the current max weekly benefit amount in california? i never know if im getting the right amount

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California's maximum weekly benefit amount is currently $450. It's calculated based on your highest earning quarter during your base period. You can verify your benefit amount on UI Online.

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i spent like 45 mins on hold with california edd yesterday trying to ask about my adjudication status and got disconnected right before someone picked up. is there actually any way to get through to a real person? i saw someone mention claimyr earlier in this thread - is that legit?

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Yes it's legit - I mentioned it above. claimyr.com worked for me when I couldn't get through after weeks of trying. They navigate the hold system so you don't have to sit there redial after redial. Worth trying if you're stuck.

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ok thank you. i have a document request pending on my adjudication and i need to confirm they received what i uploaded but the portal just says under review. gonna try claimyr

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Also for uploaded documents - California EDD says give it 10 business days before following up. If you're past that window then yeah calling to confirm receipt is worth doing.

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wait so if low unemployment is bad because of inflation does that mean california edd benefits lose purchasing power during low unemployment periods because inflation goes up? thats kind of a cruel irony for people who do need to file claims

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You've basically just described a real economic phenomenon. Real wages (adjusted for inflation) can actually fall during low unemployment booms for people on fixed benefit amounts. It's one reason economists argue for indexed benefits that automatically adjust with inflation.

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california edd should really do automatic inflation adjustments then. $450 max doesn't go very far in LA or SF

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100% agree. The California Legislature has actually discussed this but benefit increases require budget allocations and it moves slowly. In the meantime the $450 cap is a significant hardship for high cost of living areas.

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Coming back to the original question from a practical angle - low unemployment also means more competition for the jobs you're applying to might seem counterintuitive right? But actually NO it means LESS competition because fewer people are unemployed. So if you're filing a California EDD claim during low unemployment you should theoretically be able to satisfy your job search requirements faster and get back to work quicker. That's the silver lining I guess

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That's actually a really useful reframe. I've been feeling kind of doom about my job search but maybe the market conditions aren't as bad as I think

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yeah my UI claim resolved faster than i expected and i found work within 8 weeks. the job search log requirement felt annoying but it actually kept me accountable

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this varies SO much by industry though. tech is still brutal even in low overall unemployment environment

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does any of this economics stuff actually affect the california edd adjudication process or is it totally separate? like will my claim get processed faster or slower based on what the unemployment rate is doing nationally

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Directionally yes - lower unemployment means lower claim volume which means California EDD has more capacity per claim. But it's not a direct or guaranteed relationship. Your individual adjudication timeline depends more on the specific issue being reviewed, whether you have a disqualification question, employer protests, or identity verification holds.

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i have an employer protest situation which is apparently why mine is in adjudication. does that take longer than other types?

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Employer protests typically add 2-4 weeks to the process because California EDD has to gather statements from both sides before making a determination. Make sure you respond to any requests for information within the deadline they give you.

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lol i came here googling why low unemployment is bad for an econ class and ended up learning about california edd. actually useful thread though the explanation about frictional vs cyclical unemployment was helpful for my assignment

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Glad it helped! The NAIRU (Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment) concept is the academic term for what everyone's been describing here - the unemployment rate below which inflation starts accelerating. It's a core concept in macroeconomics.

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NAIRU is exactly what my professor mentioned thanks!

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haha this thread went pretty academic for a california edd forum. glad it was useful

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I work adjacent to policy and the honest answer nobody wants to hear is that a lot of California EDD's structural problems have nothing to do with unemployment rate. The system was built on decades-old technology and even during low unemployment periods when claim volume is manageable the backend systems create delays. The adjudication bottlenecks, the phone hold times, the portal glitches - those are infrastructure problems not volume problems

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THANK YOU. this is what i've been saying. low unemployment doesn't fix a system running on technology from the 90s

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The good news is there have been some modernization efforts post-pandemic but they take years to fully implement. Claimants in the meantime are stuck navigating systems that weren't designed for current scale or complexity.

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This is accurate. The California EDD modernization project has been ongoing but hitting a real EDD rep by phone (however you manage to do it) is still often the fastest way to resolve individual claim issues while the tech catches up.

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just want to share that i finally got my adjudication resolved after 5 weeks. for anyone in the same boat - calling in is really the only way to unstick a claim once it's been sitting. i tried the UI Online message center, uploading additional documents, everything. a phone call is what actually moved it. ended up using Claimyr at claimyr.com because i couldn't survive another disconnected call after an hour on hold. rep i spoke with found a missing verification step that wasn't showing up anywhere on my portal and fixed it same day

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This is encouraging to hear. Did they tell you what the missing verification step was? I'm worried I might have something similar going on.

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Mine was an identity verification flag that got triggered by an address change I'd made. Wasn't visible to me anywhere on the portal - the rep had to manually clear it on their end. Definitely worth calling if your claim has been in adjudication more than 3 weeks with no explanation.

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ok this is making me more determined to get through on the phone. trying claimyr today

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slightly off topic but does low unemployment affect how california edd calculates your weekly benefit amount? like if wages are generally higher during low unemployment does that mean people filing claims have higher benefit amounts on average

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Indirectly yes. Your weekly benefit amount is based on your earnings in the base period (first 4 of the last 5 completed calendar quarters). If you were earning higher wages during a tight labor market your WBA would be higher, up to the $450 California maximum. So high earners during low unemployment boom times do get higher benefits when they file, but only up to the cap.

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interesting so high earners are actually disproportionately impacted by the $450 cap because they were making way more than that when employed

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Exactly. Someone making $40k/year might get close to full replacement from UI benefits. Someone making $200k/year is getting a fraction. The benefit formula doesn't scale for high earners.

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reading all this and my main takeaway is that the economy being 'good' doesn't mean california edd works better for individual claimants. my friend had her claim stuck in adjudication for 8 weeks during a period of supposedly low unemployment. had to use Claimyr to reach someone, found out her former employer had filed an incorrect separation reason. resolved within 2 days once she got a human on the phone. low unemployment means nothing if the system infrastructure doesn't work

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Employer separation reason issues seem super common. Did her employer face any consequences for filing incorrect information?

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California EDD can assess penalties against employers who misreport but in practice it's rare. The main thing is getting it corrected so your benefits aren't held up - which requires actually reaching a rep.

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employer protest and incorrect separation codes are honestly the most frustrating adjudication issues because you did everything right and still get stuck

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genuine question - if unemployment is low does california edd have more money in the fund to pay benefits? i always assumed the ui trust fund gets depleted when unemployment is high but replenishes when its low

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Yes that's basically correct. The California UI trust fund is funded by employer payroll taxes (FUTA and SUI). When unemployment is low fewer benefits are paid out and the fund builds up reserves. When unemployment spikes (like in 2020) the fund gets depleted fast and California actually had to borrow from the federal government. The state is still paying back some of that debt which affects employer tax rates.

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so employers in california are paying higher payroll taxes now partly because of covid era unemployment? that must affect hiring decisions

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Yes - California employers have been paying elevated SUI rates partly due to the trust fund debt. It's one of those downstream effects of high unemployment that persist even after unemployment drops back down.

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this thread answered like 5 different questions i didn't know i had. original poster you accidentally created a really useful economics + california edd resource lol

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honestly same, i came here confused and leaving with a much better understanding of both the economics and how to navigate my own claim situation. really appreciate everyone who chimed in

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These threads are great when they develop organically like this. For anyone still dealing with adjudication delays regardless of what the unemployment rate is doing - document everything, respond to all EDD requests immediately, and don't hesitate to call in if you've been waiting more than 3 weeks with no movement.

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and use all the tools available to actually get through on the phone. waiting on hold for hours and getting disconnected is not mandatory suffering lol

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