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Nadia Zaldivar

Washington ESD claims processing - why was unemployment so high 1982 similar to now?

Been trying to understand how the Washington ESD handled the massive unemployment spike back in 1982 compared to what we're dealing with now. My dad lost his Boeing job in 82 and said the whole system was completely overwhelmed - sounds familiar! He mentioned waiting months for his first check and the phone lines being jammed constantly. Are we seeing similar processing delays today? My claim has been in adjudication for 6 weeks and I'm wondering if this is just how it goes during high unemployment periods.

The 1982 recession hit Washington particularly hard because of manufacturing layoffs, especially Boeing and lumber. Unemployment hit 12.2% statewide. Back then they didn't have the online systems we have now, everything was paper-based and phone calls. The infrastructure just wasn't built to handle that volume.

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That makes sense. At least we have online filing now, but the adjudication process still seems to be the bottleneck.

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Ev Luca

My mom worked at the unemployment office in Tacoma during that time and she said they were working 12 hour shifts just to keep up with claims

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I'm going through the same thing right now with my Washington ESD claim stuck in adjudication. Six weeks is insane! Have you tried calling them? I can never get through.

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Yeah the phone situation is impossible. I've called probably 200 times and either get busy signal or put on hold for hours then disconnected.

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I found this service called Claimyr that actually got me through to a Washington ESD agent in about 20 minutes. They have some system that handles the calling for you - check out claimyr.com and there's a demo video at https://youtu.be/7DieNd3C7zQ. Finally got my adjudication issue resolved.

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Interesting, never heard of that. Did they charge you a lot?

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They focus on the value of actually reaching someone rather than the cost. For me it was worth it since I was losing way more money sitting in limbo.

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The 1982 recession was caused by Federal Reserve policies to combat inflation - they raised interest rates to over 20% which killed economic activity. Washington got hit extra hard because we're so dependent on interest-sensitive industries like housing and manufacturing.

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Right, Paul Volcker was Fed chair then. The recession was brutal but it did break the back of inflation.

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Yeah but tell that to the people who lost their jobs and homes! My family almost lost our house in Spokane.

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ugh this is so frustrating. been waiting 8 weeks for my claim to get approved and washington esd just keeps saying "under review" with no timeline. how did people survive in 1982 without any updates??

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Back then you literally had to go to the unemployment office in person if you wanted an update. No online portal, no automated phone system.

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that sounds even worse than now. at least i can check my account online even if it never changes

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My dad was a logger and got laid off in early 1982. He said unemployment benefits back then were way less generous than now - only lasted 26 weeks maximum and the weekly amount was pretty low. Plus the job search requirements were stricter.

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Ev Luca

The job search requirements now are still pretty strict - you have to log 3 job search activities per week and register with WorkSourceWA.

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True, but at least now you can do some of those activities online. Back then you had to physically go places and get signatures.

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The unemployment rate in 1982 peaked at 10.8% nationally but Washington hit over 12%. Manufacturing states got hammered the worst. Steel, auto, lumber - all the heavy industries that built the middle class.

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Interesting parallel to today with tech layoffs hitting Seattle so hard. Different industries but same economic disruption.

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At least tech workers usually have savings and better severance packages than factory workers did in 82

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Anyone else notice that Washington ESD seems to use the same antiquated computer systems they probably had in the 80s? The whole website looks like it hasn't been updated since dial-up internet.

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LOL so true! The secure access washington portal is such a nightmare to navigate

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Hey at least it's not paper forms anymore. My uncle said in 82 you had to mail everything and wait weeks just to know if they received it.

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I've been tracking my calls to Washington ESD and I'm up to 347 attempts since my claim got stuck in adjudication. This is absolutely ridiculous. How is this legal?

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That's exactly why I ended up using Claimyr. I was tracking my calls too and it was driving me crazy. Much better to let them handle the calling while I focused on job searching.

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Did that actually work for you? I'm skeptical of paying for something that should be free.

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I get the skepticism, but when you're losing unemployment income every day you wait, sometimes you have to be practical about solutions.

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The difference between 1982 and now is that back then unemployment was seen as temporary - people expected to get their factory jobs back when the economy recovered. Now it's more about permanent structural changes in the economy.

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Good point. The 1982 recession was cyclical, not structural. Most of those manufacturing jobs did come back, at least for a while.

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Yeah my grandpa got rehired at the mill in 1984 and worked there until he retired. That doesn't happen anymore.

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Does anyone know if Washington ESD keeps historical data on processing times? Would be interesting to compare 1982 claim processing to today's disasters.

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They probably have the data somewhere but good luck getting them to share it. They can barely handle current claims let alone historical analysis.

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I work in data analysis and from what I've heard through professional contacts, the average processing time in 82 was actually better than today despite the volume. Less bureaucracy.

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My mom's been telling me stories about 1982 since I filed my claim. She said at least back then when you finally got through to someone on the phone, they could actually help you. Now the agents seem powerless to do anything.

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That's because everything has to go through multiple approval levels now. The front-line agents can't make decisions.

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Which is why I was surprised when the Claimyr service actually got me to someone who could resolve my issue. Maybe they route you to different agents?

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just want to point out that inflation in 1982 was way worse than unemployment. at least now prices are somewhat stable. back then mortgage rates were 18%!!

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True, but wages were also higher relative to cost of living in many sectors. A manufacturing job could support a family of four.

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Yeah but try buying a house with an 18% mortgage rate. My parents couldn't afford to buy until rates came down in the mid-80s.

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Been researching this topic for a paper I'm writing. The 1982 recession lasted about 16 months but recovery was pretty swift once it started. This feels different - more prolonged uncertainty.

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That's what worries me about my claim being stuck. In 82 at least people knew it was temporary. Now who knows when things will get better.

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The recovery was swift because they had room to cut interest rates. Now rates are already low so the Fed has fewer tools.

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Random question but does anyone know if the Washington ESD building downtown is the same one they used in 1982? Went there last week and it definitely looks old enough.

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I think they moved offices several times. The current building on Capitol Way opened in the 90s I believe.

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Wait, you can actually go there in person? I thought everything was online now.

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You can go but they barely help with anything. Told me to call the phone number like everyone else.

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The real lesson from 1982 is that Washington's economy is vulnerable to national recessions because we're so dependent on a few major industries. Boeing, Microsoft, Amazon - if any of those tank we're in trouble.

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At least we're more diversified now than in 82. Back then it was basically Boeing, lumber, and agriculture.

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True but tech companies can lay off thousands at once now. In 82 the layoffs were more gradual.

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