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Freya Larsen

Will Social Security retirement benefit projections increase after adding 2024 higher salary to earnings record?

Hello everyone, I'm trying to figure out how my SS retirement benefit might change. I received a significant promotion late last year, and my 2024 salary is about 22% higher than what I earned in 2023. I haven't started taking Social Security yet (I'm 58), but I've been checking my projected benefits on the SSA website. Will my estimated monthly retirement benefit increase once my 2024 earnings are added to my record? Or are those projections already somehow accounting for potential future income? The current estimate seems low given my new salary. Any insights would be appreciated!

Omar Hassan

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Yes, your projected benefit will likely increase once your 2024 earnings are recorded. Social Security calculates your benefit based on your highest 35 years of indexed earnings, so if 2024 becomes one of those top 35 years (which sounds likely with a 22% increase), your overall benefit calculation will improve. The SSA typically updates your earnings record annually after employers report W-2 information, usually by late summer/early fall of the following year.

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Freya Larsen

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That's really helpful, thank you! Do you know if the estimates on my Social Security statement are just based on my actual earnings to date, or do they make some assumptions about future earnings? I wasn't sure if they were already factoring in some kind of projected income.

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Chloe Taylor

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congrats on the raise! i had something similar happen last year and it definitely changed my SS projection when it updated. took forever tho, like 8 months after the year ended before the new number showed up on mySocialSecurity

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Freya Larsen

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Thanks! Good to hear it eventually updated for you. I guess I'll just need to be patient.

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Omar Hassan

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To answer your follow-up question: The SSA typically provides three different benefit estimates on your Social Security Statement. The first assumes you continue working at your current salary until your retirement age. The second estimates your benefit if you stop working now and wait until full retirement age to collect. The third shows your disability benefit if you became disabled right now. If you're looking at the estimate that assumes continued work, it's using your current reported earnings as a baseline for projections. So once your 2024 higher salary is recorded, that new higher amount will become the baseline for future projections, potentially increasing your estimated benefit.

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ShadowHunter

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This is mostly right but not 100% accurate. The SSA actually uses your AVERAGE earnings over the past few years to project future earnings, not just your most recent year. So they might already be factoring in some increase but not the full 22%.

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Diego Ramirez

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When I tried checking my record last week the SSA website was down AGAIN!!! Been trying to see my earnings for THREE MONTHS and keep getting errors or maintenance messages. How is anyone supposed to plan for retirement when you can't even SEE your benefits??? This is ridiculous!

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I've had the same problem trying to access my account online. After multiple failed attempts, I finally got through to a real person at SSA using Claimyr (claimyr.com). You can see how it works here: https://youtu.be/Z-BRbJw3puU. They connected me with an agent in about 20 minutes instead of waiting on hold for hours. The agent was able to verify my earnings record and explain exactly how my benefit was calculated. Totally worth it for the time saved and stress avoided.

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Sean O'Connor

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my brother works for ssa and says they only update earnings once a year usually around september for the previous year. he also said higher earnings in later years can definitely increase your benefit amount especially if they replace a zero or low earning year in your top 35.

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Zara Ahmed

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Your benefit will definitely change, but it's important to understand exactly how Social Security calculates your Primary Insurance Amount (PIA). They take your highest 35 years of earnings, index them for inflation, then apply a formula that gives you diminishing returns on higher earnings. If you're earning substantially more than in previous years, you'll see an increase in your projected benefit once those earnings are recorded. However, the increase won't be proportional to your salary increase due to the progressive nature of the benefit formula. For example, in 2025, the formula applies: - 90% of the first $1,358 of your Average Indexed Monthly Earnings (AIME) - 32% of your AIME between $1,358 and $8,186 - 15% of your AIME above $8,186 So a 22% salary increase might only translate to a 5-10% benefit increase, depending on your overall earnings history.

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Freya Larsen

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Wow, thank you for explaining the formula! I didn't realize it worked that way. So even though my salary went up quite a bit, the actual increase to my future benefit might be more modest. That's really helpful to know for my retirement planning.

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Chloe Taylor

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dont 4get that even tho your SS benefit might go up your taxs are higher too!! i got a raise last yr and was shocked how much more they took out for FICA 😫

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ShadowHunter

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Something else to consider - have you checked if this salary increase might put you above the maximum taxable earnings limit? For 2024, that's $168,600. Earnings above that don't get taxed for Social Security, but they also don't count toward your benefit calculation. Just something to be aware of if your new salary is in that range.

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Freya Larsen

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That's a good point, but I'm not quite at that level yet. My new salary is around $135,000, so still under the cap but definitely higher than I've earned before.

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Omar Hassan

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Since you mentioned you're 58, you might want to create a my Social Security account if you haven't already and download your current earnings record. Compare it to your W-2s to ensure everything is accurate. Errors in your earnings record can significantly impact your future benefit, and they're much easier to correct if caught early. The SSA generally only corrects earnings from the past 3 years, 3 months, and 15 days without requiring additional documentation.

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Freya Larsen

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I do have an account and I've been checking periodically. Everything matches my W-2s so far, but I'll definitely keep a close eye on it when the 2024 earnings post. Thanks for the reminder about the correction time limits - I didn't know about that!

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Diego Ramirez

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My brother retired last year and they miscalculated his benefits by over $400/month!!! He had to fight for 6 months to get it fixed. ALWAYS check their math because they make mistakes ALL THE TIME. Don't just trust what they tell you.

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Sean O'Connor

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my neighbor worked for the post office and had the same question when she got promoted. she said her benefit estimate went up about $200/month after her higher salary was recorded but it took almost a year to show up in the system. might be different for you tho.

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Zara Ahmed

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One more thing to consider: If you're within a few years of retirement, you might want to check whether your 2024 earnings will replace one of your 35 highest years. If you've consistently earned a good income throughout your career, a single year's increase may have less impact than if you have some lower-earning or zero years in your calculation. You can see your year-by-year earnings history in your my Social Security account to get a better idea of how significant this increase might be to your overall calculation.

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Freya Larsen

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That's a really good point. I do have about 5 years early in my career where I earned very little (was in graduate school and working part-time). I'm guessing the new salary will definitely replace one of those years in the calculation. I'll check my year-by-year history to see exactly how it might impact things.

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