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Zainab Omar

Will Social Security projected benefits drop if I earn less after being laid off?

Just hit a major bump in my retirement planning. I turn my full retirement age (FRA) next month, but had been planning to delay claiming until 70 to get those sweet delayed retirement credits. The problem? My company just cut me loose last month with a severance package that'll keep me afloat until April 2026. I've been checking my Social Security statement online and like what I see with those projected age-70 benefit numbers ($3,875/month). But now I'm freaking out wondering if those projections will change if I can't find another job paying what I was making before (was at $98K). I've worked 35+ years, but the last 6-7 were definitely my highest earning years. If I end up taking a lower-paying job for the next few years or have periods of unemployment, will my age-70 benefit amount drop from what's currently projected? Or are those calculations mostly fixed once you reach FRA? Anyone dealt with this before?

Connor Murphy

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Yes, your benefit amount could potentially change if your earnings over the next few years are significantly lower than your previous income. Social Security calculates your benefit based on your highest 35 years of earnings (indexed for inflation). If these next few years would have replaced lower-earning years in your history, then yes, your eventual benefit might be less than currently projected. However, given that you mentioned you've worked 35+ years and the last 6-7 were your highest earning, you're probably in decent shape. The SSA calculation already includes the assumption that you'll continue earning at roughly your current level until you claim. If you're uncertain, you can use the SSA's detailed calculator to run different scenarios: https://www.ssa.gov/OACT/anypia/anypia.html

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Zainab Omar

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Thanks for this explanation. So I guess the big question is whether my recent earnings were replacing lower earnings from earlier in my career in the top-35 calculation. I'll check out that calculator link - hadn't seen that one before.

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Yara Sayegh

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the projections on ur SS statement assume u keep earning same amount til u claim. so ya if u earn less than they projected then ur benefit could go down some. how much depends on what years get replaced in top 35

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Zainab Omar

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That's what I was afraid of. Wish they made that clearer on the statement. Getting laid off wasn't exactly in my retirement plan!

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NebulaNova

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When I was laid off 3 years before my FRA, I was DEVASTATED thinking my SS would tank!!! But it barely changed at all. My benefit at 67 only went down like $40/month from what was projected before. The SSA website doesn't explain this well AT ALL. Those projections are honestly MISLEADING because they assume you'll keep earning the same salary forever!!! So frustrating! If you've already got 35 solid years in, a few years of lower earnings or zero earnings might not hurt much. GOOD LUCK!!!

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Zainab Omar

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That's somewhat reassuring. $40/month isn't nothing, but it's also not catastrophic. I'm hoping for a similar outcome.

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Yara Sayegh

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yeah totally depends on ur specific earnings history tho. some ppl might see bigger drops if their recent earnings were way higher than early career

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This is a common concern and completely understandable. Your Social Security benefit is calculated based on your highest 35 years of earnings (adjusted for inflation). The projection you see on your statement assumes you'll continue earning at roughly your current level until you claim. Here's what you should understand: 1. If your recent years were replacing lower-earning years in your top 35, then yes, having lower or zero earnings could reduce your benefit amount. 2. However, if you already have 35 years of solid earnings, a few years of lower earnings won't impact your calculation much because they won't be among your highest 35. 3. You can request a detailed earnings history from SSA to see exactly which years are counting toward your benefit calculation. 4. Consider whether working even part-time might help maintain your benefit level. If you delay until 70, you'll still get those delayed retirement credits (8% per year after FRA), which is valuable regardless of what happens with your earnings between now and then.

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Zainab Omar

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Thank you for the detailed explanation. I'm going to request my earnings history to see exactly which years are counting. That should help me understand how much impact these next few years might have.

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Paolo Conti

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I had almost the exact same situation happen to me! Got laid off 8 months before FRA and was planning to delay until 70. I had the worst time trying to get through to SSA to get answers about this. Called for weeks and kept getting disconnected or waiting for hours. Finally I found this service called Claimyr (claimyr.com) that got me connected to an actual SSA agent in about 20 minutes. The agent walked through my earnings history and showed me exactly how different scenarios would affect my benefit amount. Totally worth it for the peace of mind. They have a demo video at https://youtu.be/Z-BRbJw3puU if you want to see how it works. Saved me so much frustration!

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Zainab Omar

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I hadn't heard of this service before. Getting through to SSA has been impossible lately. I'll check it out since I really need some personalized advice for my situation.

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Yara Sayegh

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i tried calling SS like 6 times last month and gave up. might try this

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Amina Diallo

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I think you're overthinking this. At your age with 35+ years of work, a couple years of lower earnings won't make much difference. The delayed credits to 70 will FAR outweigh any small calculation changes. Just focus on finding a new job that makes you happy, not just for SS purposes.

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Zainab Omar

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You're probably right that I'm overanalyzing this. The 8% per year delayed credits are substantial regardless of small changes to the base amount.

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Oliver Schulz

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I HATE how the SSA statements are so misleading about this!!! I was in your exact situation and when I finally claimed, my benefit was almost $300/month LESS than what they had projected years earlier!!! It's because my last few working years were part-time and they had calculated assuming I'd keep earning at my peak. The whole system is set up to confuse us. Make sure you get a REAL calculation based on your ACTUAL situation, not their stupid projections that assume everything stays the same forever. And congrats on that severance - wish I'd gotten one when they pushed me out!

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Zainab Omar

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$300/month is significant! That's concerning. I guess I need to be prepared for some reduction, though my situation might be different if I already have enough high-earning years.

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While projections can sometimes differ from final benefit amounts, a $300/month reduction is unusually large and typically happens when there's a substantial earnings change over multiple years or when someone had fewer than 35 years of covered earnings. Most people with 35+ years of consistent work history don't see such dramatic reductions even with a few lower-earning years at the end of their career.

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Connor Murphy

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Here's something concrete you can do: Create an account at ssa.gov if you haven't already and download your complete earnings history. Look at your lowest earning years that are included in your top 35. If your lowest year in that calculation is, say, $30,000 (in today's dollars), then any year you earn less than that could potentially lower your benefit. This will give you a threshold to aim for in any new job. Also, remember that delaying to 70 is giving you a guaranteed 8% per year increase from your FRA amount, which is substantial regardless of small changes to your calculation base.

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Zainab Omar

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I do have my ssa.gov account (that's where I've been seeing the projections), but I haven't dug into the detailed earnings history yet. I'll do that tonight and see what my lowest indexed year looks like. That's really helpful concrete advice, thank you!

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NebulaNova

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My husband was so worried about this exact same thing! He got downsized at 64 and was FREAKING OUT about his SS getting cut. But when he finally claimed at 68, it was only like $75 less per month than originally projected even though he only worked part-time those last few years. The delayed credits made WAAAAAY more difference than the slight change in the calculation. Don't stress too much!!!

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Zainab Omar

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That's reassuring to hear a real example with numbers. $75/month is manageable compared to the benefit of the delayed credits.

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One important point that hasn't been mentioned yet: Even if you don't work another day, you'll still get those delayed retirement credits between your FRA and age 70. Those are calculated as a percentage increase of your FRA benefit amount and are completely independent of whether you're working or not. So while your base PIA (Primary Insurance Amount) might be slightly affected by these years of lower earnings, the 32% increase from delaying FRA to 70 applies regardless. This is why delaying is still beneficial for many people even if they stop working at or before FRA.

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Zainab Omar

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That's a really important distinction I wasn't clear on. So the delayed credits apply to whatever my FRA benefit amount ends up being, regardless of whether I'm working during those delay years. That actually makes me feel a lot better about my decision to delay.

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Amina Diallo

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anyone know if he should apply for unemployment while looking for work? does that affect SS calculations at all?

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Connor Murphy

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Unemployment benefits don't count as earnings for Social Security calculation purposes. They're not subject to Social Security tax and don't factor into your AIME (Average Indexed Monthly Earnings). So receiving unemployment won't help boost your SS calculation, but it also won't hurt it. And yes, definitely apply for unemployment benefits while job searching if you're eligible!

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I went through something very similar when I got laid off at 65! Here's what I learned that might help you: The key is understanding which of your 35 highest-earning years would potentially be replaced. Since you mentioned your last 6-7 years were your highest earning, you're likely in better shape than you think. What really helped me was creating a spreadsheet of my earnings history (you can get this from ssa.gov) and identifying my lowest-earning year that's currently in my top 35. That became my "threshold" - as long as I earned more than that amount in future years, my benefit wouldn't decrease. Also, keep in mind that even if your base benefit drops slightly, the delayed retirement credits are still incredibly valuable. Going from FRA to 70 gives you that 32% increase regardless of small changes to your underlying calculation. In my case, even with two years of part-time work, the delayed credits far outweighed the minor reduction in my base amount. Don't panic - with 35+ years of work history and those peak earning years already in your record, you're probably looking at minimal impact even in a worst-case scenario.

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Mei Wong

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This is exactly the kind of practical advice I needed! Creating a spreadsheet with my earnings history and identifying that threshold year is brilliant - it gives me a concrete target to understand the impact. I'm feeling much more optimistic about this situation now. The 32% delayed credit boost really does seem like it would dwarf any small reduction in the base calculation. Thank you for sharing your real experience with this!

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I'm dealing with a similar situation right now - got laid off 6 months ago at 66 and have been really anxious about how it might affect my Social Security benefits. Reading through all these responses has been incredibly helpful, especially the real-world examples people have shared. What I've learned from my own research and talking to a financial advisor is that if you've already worked 35+ years like you have, the impact is usually much smaller than you'd expect. The Social Security Administration's projections can definitely be misleading because they assume you'll keep earning at your current rate indefinitely. One thing that's given me peace of mind is running different scenarios through that detailed calculator Connor mentioned earlier. Even in worst-case scenarios where I don't work again, my age-70 benefit only drops by about $60-80/month from the original projection. When you consider that delaying from FRA to 70 increases your benefit by 32%, that small reduction becomes pretty negligible. Have you considered doing some consulting or part-time work in your field? Even earning $20-30K per year might be enough to keep your benefit calculation stable, and it could help with the transition into full retirement. Plus it might be less stressful than jumping back into a full-time role at this stage. Hang in there - this kind of late-career disruption is scary, but it sounds like you're in a much stronger position than you realize!

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