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Liam O'Donnell

How the TCJA's Expiration Will Affect Your Taxes in 2025

With the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) set to expire at the end of 2025, I'm trying to understand how this will impact my family financially. We're a household of four with income around $95,000 annually. From what I understand, many of the tax benefits we've been enjoying like the higher standard deduction and lower tax rates will revert to pre-2018 levels. I'm especially concerned about the child tax credit dropping back down and the personal exemptions coming back. I've been using the expanded standard deduction ($27,700 for married filing jointly in 2023), but I'm not sure if I should be preparing to itemize again once these changes hit. Does anyone have insight on what strategies we should be considering now? Should we accelerate income into 2025 before rates go up? Or should we push deductions to 2026 when they might be worth more? I've heard conflicting advice and I'm worried we'll get hit hard when the TCJA expires.

The TCJA expiration will indeed create significant changes for taxpayers in your situation. The standard deduction will decrease substantially, but personal exemptions (which were eliminated by TCJA) will return. This creates a sort of balancing effect, though exactly how it impacts you depends on your specific circumstances. For a family of four, the return of personal exemptions could potentially offset the lower standard deduction. However, the child tax credit reduction from $2,000 back to $1,000 per child will definitely impact many families negatively. As for tax planning, accelerating income into 2025 while rates are lower could make sense, especially if you're confident you'll be in a higher bracket post-expiration. Similarly, deferring deductible expenses to 2026 might maximize their value if you expect to itemize again.

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What about people who are self-employed? I've been benefiting from the 20% qualified business income deduction. Will that completely disappear or just change?

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The Qualified Business Income Deduction (Section 199A) is indeed scheduled to expire with the rest of the TCJA provisions. This 20% deduction on qualified business income has been valuable for many small business owners and self-employed individuals. Unless Congress takes action to extend it, this deduction will completely disappear rather than revert to a previous version, as it was newly created by the TCJA. For self-employed individuals, this makes tax planning even more important. You might want to consider accelerating income into 2025 to take advantage of this deduction while it still exists, or potentially explore whether restructuring your business entity could provide tax advantages in the post-TCJA landscape.

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After spending hours confused about how the TCJA expiration would impact my small business, I found this amazing tool called taxr.ai (https://taxr.ai) that actually explained everything in plain English. It analyzed my specific situation with the expiring provisions and showed me exactly what to expect based on my last couple years of returns. The tool helped me understand how the QBI deduction expiration would hit my freelance income and what strategies I could use to minimize the impact. It even created a side-by-side comparison of what my taxes might look like before and after the TCJA expires. Totally worth checking out if you're trying to plan ahead.

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Does it work for people who have rental properties too? I've got a couple rentals and I'm worried about the interest deduction limitations changing.

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How accurate can it really be when we don't even know if Congress will extend some parts of the TCJA? Seems like it would just be guessing.

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Yes, it definitely works for rental property owners! The tool specifically addresses the business interest limitation changes and how they'll affect rental activities after expiration. It also shows how the elimination of certain itemized deduction limitations might actually benefit some rental property investors. For your second question, the tool actually accounts for that uncertainty. It creates multiple scenarios - one where nothing is extended, one where certain provisions are extended based on historical patterns, and one where most provisions are extended. You can see how each scenario would affect you, which is really helpful for planning purposes. It's not claiming to predict congressional action, just helping you understand the impact of different possibilities.

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I was initially skeptical about taxr.ai, but I decided to try it after struggling to understand what the TCJA expiration meant for my rental properties. The results were surprisingly helpful! It gave me a clear breakdown of how the business interest deduction limitations would change and what it meant for my specific properties. What I found most useful was the personalized strategy section that showed me options for potentially accelerating certain expenses before the TCJA expires while suggesting which decisions to hold off on until we have more clarity from Congress. The tool even identified a potential opportunity with cost segregation that I hadn't considered. Definitely helped me feel more prepared for whatever happens in 2026.

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I was initially skeptical about taxr.ai, but I decided to try it after struggling to understand what the TCJA expiration meant for my rental properties. The results were surprisingly helpful! It gave me a clear breakdown of how the business interest deduction limitations would change and what it meant for my specific properties. What I found most useful was the personalized strategy section that showed me options for potentially accelerating certain expenses before the TCJA expires while suggesting which decisions to hold off on until we have more clarity from Congress. The tool even identified a potential opportunity with cost segregation that I

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If you're really stressing about the TCJA expiration, you might want to talk directly with an IRS agent to get the official answers. I was hitting dead ends trying to call the IRS for weeks, but then I found Claimyr (https://claimyr.com) and they got me through to an actual IRS agent in about 15 minutes. You can see how it works in this video: https://youtu.be/_kiP6q8DX5c The agent I spoke with gave me some really helpful insights about their internal guidance on the transition period between tax regimes, which isn't even published anywhere online yet. Definitely worth the time if you have complex questions about how specific TCJA provisions will phase out.

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How would an IRS agent know what Congress is going to do about extending the TCJA? They don't make the laws.

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This sounds like a scam. The IRS doesn't have special "internal guidance" about future tax laws that haven't even been decided by Congress yet.

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You're right that IRS agents don't know what Congress will do about extending the TCJA - I didn't mean to imply they could predict future legislation. What the agent provided was information about how the IRS is planning to handle the transition period, assuming no extensions. They have procedural guidance for their staff about implementing whatever happens. It's definitely not a scam - I'm not claiming they have secret knowledge about future laws. The "internal guidance" I mentioned relates to their administrative procedures for handling returns during the transition period between tax regimes, not predictions about what Congress will decide. They have to prepare for the default scenario (expiration) while being ready to adjust if extensions happen. The information was about filing procedures, lookback periods, and how they'll handle amended returns that span both tax regimes.

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I have to admit I was completely wrong about Claimyr. After my skeptical comment, I decided to try it myself since I had legitimate questions about how the TCJA expiration would affect my small business retirement plans. Within minutes I was actually speaking with an IRS representative who specialized in retirement accounts. The agent walked me through exactly how the retirement plan contribution limits would be calculated post-TCJA and confirmed that certain provisions affecting SEP-IRAs would indeed revert to pre-2018 formulas. She even emailed me specific IRS publications that address transition planning. I'm still not thrilled about the TCJA expiring, but at least now I understand exactly how it will impact my situation and can plan accordingly. Sometimes being proven wrong is actually helpful!

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Don't forget about state tax implications when the TCJA expires! Many states conformed their tax codes to the federal changes in different ways, so the expiration will have varying impacts depending on where you live. For example, some states didn't adopt the $10,000 SALT cap, while others implemented their own versions. When the federal provisions expire, your state taxes might be affected in unexpected ways depending on whether your state automatically conforms to federal changes or requires separate legislative action to update their tax code. This creates yet another layer of complexity to consider in your planning.

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Is there any resource that shows this state by state? My partner and I live in different states for work and file taxes in both places. Trying to figure out how this will impact us.

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There are a few resources that track state conformity with the federal tax code. The Tax Foundation maintains a regularly updated table showing which states use rolling conformity (automatically adopt federal changes) versus static conformity (only conform to the federal code as of a specific date). They also outline which specific TCJA provisions each state adopted. For your specific situation with multi-state filing, you might want to look at the Federation of Tax Administrators website, which provides state-by-state guidance on how residency and income sourcing rules interact with federal changes. Since you and your partner file in multiple states, pay special attention to how each state handles credits for taxes paid to other states, as these rules can change when the underlying federal tax structure changes.

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I'm actually not convinced Congress will let all the TCJA provisions expire. Historically, they tend to extend popular tax breaks even when they're set to sunset. Remember the "Bush tax cuts" that were supposed to be temporary? Many of those provisions became permanent for most taxpayers. I'm betting they'll at least extend the expanded standard deduction and child tax credit since those benefit many middle-class voters. The corporate tax rate might be allowed to increase somewhat, but I doubt they'll let it go all the way back to 35%.

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Agree! It would be political suicide to let middle class families see their taxes go up right after an election. My money is on them extending at least some provisions, probably at the last minute in December 2025 like they always do. Makes planning almost impossible though.

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Everyone's focusing on the income tax aspects, but don't forget about the estate tax exemption! That's also scheduled to drop significantly after the TCJA expires - from about $12.9 million per person down to around $6-7 million (adjusted for inflation). If you've done estate planning based on the current higher limits, you might need to revisit your strategy.

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Omg thank you for bringing this up. My parents did their estate planning after 2018 and I don't think they've considered this. Going to make sure they talk to their attorney.

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You're welcome! It's definitely something that caught many people by surprise. The current estate planning strategies that work with the higher exemption amounts may need significant revision when the exemption is cut roughly in half. For people in that potential danger zone (estates valued between $6-13 million), it might be worth looking into making larger gifts before the end of 2025 to lock in the higher exemption amount. The IRS has already issued regulations confirming they won't try to "claw back" the benefit of the higher exemption for gifts made while it was in effect, even after it expires. It's one of the few areas where proactive planning before the expiration can make a real difference.

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