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One thing I haven't seen mentioned here is quarterly estimated tax payments. If you're making significant profits on Kalshi (like the original poster's $8,400), you might need to make quarterly estimated payments to avoid underpayment penalties. Since prediction market earnings are treated as "other income" and taxed at ordinary rates, they're not subject to withholding like W-2 wages. The IRS expects you to pay as you go throughout the year, not just when you file your return. If your Kalshi profits plus other income mean you'll owe more than $1,000 in taxes for the year, you should probably be making quarterly payments. This caught me off guard my first profitable year - I owed a $180 underpayment penalty even though I paid my full tax bill on time. The safe harbor rule is to pay at least 100% of last year's tax liability (110% if your prior year AGI was over $150k) through withholding and estimated payments combined. Worth calculating this if you're having a good year on prediction markets!

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This is such an important point that often gets overlooked! I learned this the hard way too. What makes it tricky with prediction markets is that your profits can be really lumpy - you might have a huge win in one quarter and losses in another, making it hard to estimate what you'll owe for the year. I've started setting aside about 25% of my net Kalshi profits each quarter in a separate savings account earmarked for taxes. Even if I don't end up owing quarterly payments, at least I have the money ready when tax time comes. Better to have the IRS owe me a refund than the other way around! For anyone just getting started with prediction markets, definitely factor this into your trading strategy. Those underpayment penalties can eat into your profits pretty quickly.

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Great point about the quarterly payments! I wish someone had told me this before I started trading on Kalshi. I had a similar experience - made about $12K in profits last year and got hit with a $250 underpayment penalty because I didn't realize I needed to make estimated payments. What's really tricky is that prediction market profits can be so unpredictable. You might crush it in Q1 with some political events, then have losses in Q2-Q3, then another big win in Q4. Makes it nearly impossible to estimate what you'll owe until the year is over. I've started using the "110% of last year's tax" safe harbor approach that @Abby Marshall mentioned - it s'the most conservative but at least I know I won t'get penalized. Anyone know if there are any tools or calculators specifically designed for handling estimated taxes with volatile income like prediction markets?

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For those asking about quarterly estimated tax tools - I've been using the IRS Form 1040ES worksheet but modified it for prediction market income volatility. What I do is calculate my estimated annual tax liability based on my regular income, then add 25-30% buffer for potential Kalshi profits. The key insight I learned is that you can adjust your quarterly payments throughout the year as your prediction market performance becomes clearer. If you overpaid in Q1-Q2 because you estimated too high, you can reduce Q3-Q4 payments accordingly. The IRS just cares that your total payments meet the safe harbor threshold by year end. One practical tip: I track my running net Kalshi profits monthly and recalculate my quarterly payment needs. This way I'm never surprised by a huge underpayment penalty. The annualized income installment method (Form 2210 AI) can also help if your income is really uneven throughout the year - it lets you match your quarterly payments to when you actually earned the income. The 110% safe harbor rule has saved me from penalties even in years when my prediction market income was all over the place.

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This is really helpful! I'm just getting into prediction markets and made my first decent profit last month ($800 on some election contracts). I had no idea about the quarterly payment requirements - I thought I could just pay everything when I file my return like I do with my regular job. The monthly tracking approach makes a lot of sense, especially since my Kalshi activity has been pretty sporadic. Some months I don't trade at all, others I might have a few big wins. Would you recommend setting up a separate bank account just for the tax money, or is tracking it in a spreadsheet sufficient? Also, when you mention the "annualized income installment method" - is that something a regular person can figure out, or do you need an accountant for that? I'm trying to stay on top of this before I get in too deep with prediction market trading.

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Emma Morales

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Back in 2022, I had an unemployment overpayment of $4,200 that was going to be offset from my taxes. I found out that Texas has specific exemptions for people experiencing homelessness with dependents. I had to provide a letter from the shelter I was staying at and copies of my children's documentation. They reduced my overpayment by 80% and set up a $25/month payment plan for the rest. The key was getting it all submitted before the Treasury Offset Program certification date, which happens in early February for most states.

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This is incredibly helpful information. I'm going to ask about the specific exemption for homeless families when I call. Thank you for sharing your experience!

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Lucas Parker

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Thank you for the detailed timeline. Knowing about that February certification date is crucial - I need to move fast!

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Mason Davis

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I went through this exact same nightmare when I was homeless with my two kids in Houston. Here's what saved me: Call TWC at 800-939-6631 early morning (7 AM sharp) and ask for the "Collections Department" specifically. Don't get transferred around - insist on collections. Tell them you need an "Emergency Hardship Waiver" due to homelessness with minor children. They have a form called TWC-175 that most people don't know about. I got mine processed in 8 days and they waived 100% of my $3,100 overpayment. Also, if you're staying at a shelter, get a letter on letterhead from them TODAY - this carries more weight than you'd think. The woman who helped me said homeless families with kids get priority review. Don't give up, the system actually does work if you know exactly what to ask for.

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Miguel Ortiz

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called them yesterday and the lady said there experiencing delays due to high volume rn. might take up to 14 business days smh

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Zainab Khalil

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ugh thanks for the heads up. wish theyd post that on their website

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Dylan Baskin

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Been waiting on my Kansas refund for 12 days now and starting to get worried. Filed electronically on Jan 28th, got accepted same day, but still nothing in my account. Called their hotline twice and just got the generic "processing takes 7-14 business days" message. Really hoping it shows up soon since I need it for some bills. Anyone else experiencing longer delays this year?

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Zoe Wang

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Just a heads up, I was having the same issues with TaxAct but found that it works if you use Microsoft Edge in InPrivate mode. Something about their scripts conflicts with certain browser extensions. Not ideal but might help if you're stuck with them and can't get a refund.

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Does this fix the support page too? I still need to get a refund since I already paid for Premium which doesn't even work.

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Zoe Wang

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It did partially fix the support page for me - I could at least access it, though submitting forms was still hit or miss. For refunds, I had better luck calling their billing department directly at 319-373-3600 and selecting the billing option. Took about 25 minutes on hold, but I eventually got through to someone who processed my refund. The support page seems to be completely broken, but their phone systems still work.

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Grace Durand

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This is why I never pay for tax software until I'm ready to file. I always use the free version to input everything, then only upgrade at the very end if I need to. That way if there are issues, I haven't spent any money yet. TaxAct worked fine for me last year but I'm avoiding them this year after seeing so many complaints.

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Steven Adams

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Smart approach. Which software are you using this year instead? I need to find an alternative to finish my returns.

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I switched to FreeTaxUSA this year after all the TaxAct horror stories. It's been rock solid so far - no script errors, clean interface, and their support actually works. The free version handles most situations, and even their paid version is cheaper than TaxAct Plus. I was able to import my prior year data from TaxAct without any issues too.

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Have you considered using a tax professional instead of DIY software? I used to struggle with Schedule E every year until I found a CPA who specializes in real estate. She charges $350 but saved me over $2000 in deductions I was missing.

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Sean Kelly

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I've thought about it, but I actually enjoy doing my own taxes (weird, I know). I like understanding exactly how everything works together. Just frustrated with the software limitations. How did you find a CPA who really knows real estate tax issues?

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Paolo Bianchi

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I found mine through the National Association of Tax Professionals directory - you can search by specialty. Look for CPAs who specifically mention real estate or rental property experience. Also check with your local real estate investor groups - they usually have recommendations for tax pros who really understand depreciation, 1031 exchanges, and all the rental property nuances. The key is finding someone who does this regularly, not just a general tax preparer who might handle a rental or two per year.

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I feel your pain with FreeTaxUSA's Schedule E limitations! I ran into similar issues last year with depreciation calculations that just wouldn't compute correctly. One thing that helped me was double-checking that I had entered my property's placed-in-service date correctly - sometimes even a small error there can throw off the entire depreciation calculation. For this year, I ended up using TaxSlayer Premium which handles Schedule E much better than FreeTaxUSA. It's about $60 but allows manual overrides on depreciation calculations when their automatic calculations don't work. The interface isn't as clean as some others, but it gets the job done for rental properties. If you're comfortable with your Excel template and it's been working for 8 years, honestly you might want to stick with what works. You could prepare your Schedule E in Excel and then manually enter those final numbers into whatever e-filing software you choose, just to get the electronic filing benefit.

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