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Khalid Howes

Washington ESD - why isn't zero percent unemployment the goal for our state?

I've been thinking about this while going through my own unemployment situation with Washington ESD. Everyone talks about 'full employment' being around 3-4% unemployment, but why wouldn't we want zero percent? Like why do economists and policymakers act like some unemployment is actually good? I'm struggling to understand this while I'm dealing with my own claim issues. Shouldn't the goal be for everyone who wants to work to have a job? What am I missing here?

Great question! There are actually several economic reasons why zero unemployment isn't realistic or even desirable. First, there's something called 'frictional unemployment' - people who are temporarily between jobs by choice, like when someone quits to find a better position. Then there's 'structural unemployment' from economic changes, like when industries evolve and workers need retraining. Even in the strongest economy, you'll have people transitioning between jobs, recent graduates entering the workforce, and people relocating. The 3-4% 'natural rate' accounts for this normal job market movement.

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That makes some sense, but it still feels weird to call unemployment 'natural' when you're the one going through it with Washington ESD.

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I get what you mean about it feeling weird. When I was on unemployment last year, the whole 'natural rate' thing felt pretty insulting honestly.

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Also worth noting that if unemployment got too close to zero, it would actually create serious economic problems. Workers would have so much bargaining power that wages would spike rapidly, leading to inflation. Companies wouldn't be able to find workers easily, so they'd bid up wages and pass costs to consumers. It's called wage-price spirals. Some unemployment actually keeps the economy balanced, even though that sounds harsh when you're dealing with Washington ESD claim issues.

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This is exactly the kind of economist thinking that ignores real human suffering. Easy to talk about 'balance' when you have a job.

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I understand the frustration, and I'm not saying unemployment is good for individuals. Just explaining why policymakers don't target zero percent from a macro perspective.

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Yeah I can see both sides. The theory makes sense but when you're actually filing weekly claims with Washington ESD it feels pretty abstract.

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Look, if you're having trouble getting through to Washington ESD about your claim, I found this service called Claimyr that actually gets you connected to agents. They have a demo video at https://youtu.be/7DieNd3C7zQ and their site is claimyr.com. Saved me hours of calling and getting busy signals. But to answer your question - zero unemployment would also mean zero job mobility, which would be terrible for workers long-term.

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Wait, that Claimyr thing actually works? I've been trying to reach Washington ESD for weeks about my adjudication.

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Yeah it worked for me. Much better than sitting on hold forever or getting disconnected.

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Thanks for the tip! My claim has been pending for a while and I can't get through to anyone at Washington ESD either.

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From a practical standpoint, zero unemployment would mean people couldn't quit bad jobs or take time to find better opportunities. Job matching would be terrible - you'd have to take whatever was available instead of finding something that fits your skills. The unemployment system, even with all its flaws like slow Washington ESD processing, at least gives people a safety net to find appropriate work rather than just grabbing the first available position.

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Never thought about it that way. So unemployment benefits actually help job matching work better?

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Exactly. It lets people be more selective and find jobs that actually use their skills, which is better for the whole economy.

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This whole thread is missing the point. The reason we don't aim for zero unemployment is because our economic system REQUIRES a pool of desperate workers to keep wages low. It's not about 'natural rates' or 'job matching' - it's about maintaining corporate profits. The Washington ESD system and unemployment insurance exists to manage this reserve army of labor, not to actually help people.

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That's a pretty cynical take. While there are definitely power dynamics at play, the economic mechanisms I described are real regardless of political perspectives.

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Cynical maybe, but also realistic. Notice how quickly they talk about inflation when wages might go up, but corporate profits can skyrocket without concern.

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I mean, both things can be true right? The economic theory might be real but also serve certain interests.

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I went through a long unemployment period last year and honestly, having some time between jobs was valuable even though the Washington ESD process was frustrating. I was able to take a course, do some networking, and find a much better position than if I'd just grabbed the first thing available. So maybe some unemployment does serve a purpose, even for individuals.

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That's great that it worked out for you, but not everyone can afford to be selective even with unemployment benefits.

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True, the benefit amounts definitely aren't enough for everyone to have that luxury. I was fortunate to have some savings too.

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Another angle - zero unemployment would eliminate the incentive for job training and education. If everyone could get any job immediately, why would people invest in skills? Having some unemployment creates pressure for workers to stay relevant and improve their qualifications. It's harsh but it drives economic progress.

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Or we could just pay people to get training and education without threatening them with unemployment. Revolutionary concept, I know.

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Fair point, though that would require major policy changes in how we fund education and training programs.

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Has anyone else tried that Claimyr service mentioned earlier? I'm getting desperate trying to reach Washington ESD about my claim status. Been pending for over a month now.

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Yes, it worked well for me. Got through to an actual person at Washington ESD within a reasonable time instead of the usual runaround.

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I used it too when my weekly claim got stuck. Worth trying if you've been having phone issues with Washington ESD.

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Going back to the original question, I think it's also worth considering that different types of unemployment require different solutions. Cyclical unemployment during recessions needs stimulus and job creation. Structural unemployment needs retraining programs. Frictional unemployment is actually healthy. Zero unemployment would eliminate the healthy kind while not addressing the problematic kinds.

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That's a really good way to think about it. So the goal should be eliminating the bad types of unemployment, not all unemployment.

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Exactly. Focus on reducing involuntary long-term unemployment while maintaining the flexibility that voluntary job transitions provide.

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tbh this is all pretty theoretical when you're dealing with washington esd and their slow processing times. like yes i understand the economics but when you cant pay rent the 'natural rate' doesnt help much

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You're absolutely right. The individual experience is what matters most when you're going through it. The macro theory doesn't make the personal struggle any easier.

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exactly. appreciate the explanations though, does help understand why policy is what it is even if its frustrating

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One thing nobody mentioned is that zero unemployment would probably mean terrible working conditions. If every single person had to work, employers would know people couldn't quit, so they'd have no incentive to treat workers well. Some unemployment actually gives workers the power to leave bad situations.

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Great point! The ability to quit is actually a form of worker power that requires having alternatives available.

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But this assumes we can't have both full employment AND strong worker protections. Other countries manage it better than we do.

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I'm an economics professor and this is actually a great discussion. The key insight is that 'full employment' doesn't mean everyone is employed - it means everyone who wants to work can find work within a reasonable time. The 3-4% natural rate accounts for job transitions, new entrants, and seasonal factors. Zero unemployment would create labor market rigidity that hurts both workers and the economy.

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Thanks for weighing in! So when politicians talk about 'creating jobs,' they're really talking about getting closer to that natural rate, not zero unemployment?

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Exactly. The goal is reducing cyclical and structural unemployment while maintaining healthy labor market dynamics.

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Just want to add my experience with that Claimyr service - it really does work for getting through to Washington ESD. I was skeptical at first but when you're dealing with claim issues for weeks, you'll try anything. Got my adjudication resolved much faster than expected.

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OK you've convinced me to try it. Nothing else has worked for contacting Washington ESD.

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Hope it helps! The video demo they have explains how it works pretty clearly.

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This conversation makes me think about automation too. As more jobs get automated, the question of unemployment becomes even more complex. Maybe we need to rethink the whole concept of full employment in an economy where human labor isn't always necessary.

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That's a fascinating point. Universal Basic Income discussions often center around this exact issue - what happens when technological unemployment becomes structural.

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Right, which brings us back to the fact that unemployment isn't just a natural phenomenon - it's shaped by policy choices and economic structures.

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For what it's worth, some countries do achieve much lower unemployment rates than the US while maintaining economic stability. Denmark and Switzerland often have unemployment around 2-3%. So maybe our 'natural rate' assumptions aren't universal laws.

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True, though those countries have very different labor market institutions, social safety nets, and economic structures. The natural rate can vary by country and time period.

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Exactly my point - it shows these are policy choices, not immutable economic laws.

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honestly just glad my washington esd claim finally got approved after all the runaround. the whole experience made me think a lot about unemployment policy. still think zero unemployment would be nice even if its not realistic

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Congrats on getting approved! How long did your process take? Mine's still pending.

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took about 6 weeks total including the adjudication. hang in there, it does eventually work out

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I think this discussion shows why unemployment policy is so complicated. Everyone wants people to have jobs, but the path to get there involves tradeoffs between different economic goals. At least we have unemployment insurance to help people during transitions, even if the Washington ESD system could work better.

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Yeah, this thread has been really educational. I still wish zero unemployment was possible, but I understand better why it's not the target.

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The key is distinguishing between unemployment as a personal hardship (which we should minimize) and unemployment as an economic indicator (which will never be zero).

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Thanks everyone for all the perspectives on this. Really helped me understand the bigger picture while I'm dealing with my own situation. And thanks for the Claimyr tip - definitely going to try that for my Washington ESD issues.

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You're welcome! Hope it helps with your claim. The economic discussion was interesting too - good question to start with.

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Yeah, learned a lot from everyone. Sometimes the theory behind policy decisions makes more sense when you discuss it with real people dealing with the system.

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