How accurate are SSDI estimated benefit amounts? My SS statement said $2661 but still waiting for approval
I've been dealing with some serious health issues that forced me to stop working last year. Before I applied for disability, I checked my Social Security statement online which said "If you file for disability today your estimated benefit would be $2661." So I went ahead and filed for SSDI about 8 months ago, and I'm still in the waiting game for approval (currently at reconsideration after initial denial). I'm trying to plan my finances and I'm wondering how accurate those disability benefit estimates usually are? Has anyone found that their actual SSDI payment matched what their SS statement estimated? Would hate to budget based on $2661 and then get approved for something way lower. The wait is stressful enough without the financial uncertainty!
22 comments
Abigail Patel
Those estimates can be WAY OFF!! My statement said i'd get $2150 for disability but when i was finally approved after 2 years of fighting they only gave me $1820!!! No explanation just a different number. The SSA NEVER explains anything clearly. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best is all i can say.
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Rhett Bowman
•Oh no, that's exactly what I'm worried about! Did you ever find out why there was such a big difference? I've worked and paid into the system for 22 years so I was counting on that estimate being at least somewhat accurate.
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Daniel White
The estimate on your Social Security statement is generally accurate if you have a consistent work history with steady earnings. However, several factors can affect your final SSDI amount: 1. The SSA uses your highest 35 years of earnings to calculate benefits 2. If you had recent gaps in employment, this could lower the actual amount 3. The estimate assumes you continued working until disability, but if you stopped working earlier, the calculation changes 4. Cost-of-living adjustments might have been applied since your statement was generated You can request a detailed benefit calculation explanation after approval. In my experience helping clients, most estimates are within 10-15% of the final amount, but exceptions definitely exist.
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Rhett Bowman
•Thank you for such a detailed response! This helps a lot. I did have pretty consistent income for most of my career except the last 6 months before filing when I tried working part-time before I couldn't work at all. I wonder if that affected things.
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Abigail Patel
•10-15% still means OP could get over $300 less than what they're expecting! The system is designed to confuse people and there's nothing we can do about it except wait and see what they decide to give us.
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Nolan Carter
I just went through this last year! My statement estimate was pretty close - said $2349 and I got approved for $2298. The small difference was because of some calculation involving my last quarters of work before becoming disabled. The real issue isn't usually the benefit calculation but getting approved at all. Have you considered getting a disability attorney for your reconsideration? They only get paid if you win and it comes from backpay, not your future benefits.
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Rhett Bowman
•That's reassuring that yours was so close! And yes, I actually did hire an attorney after my initial denial. They're handling the reconsideration now. Hoping it helps speed things up!
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Natalia Stone
ive been on SSDI for 5 yrs now and my check is higher than what my statement said it would be! got my first increase this january with the COLA adjustment too. but i had to wait almost 3 yrs to get approved so get ready for a long wait
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Tasia Synder
•3 YEARS?!? That's absolutely ridiculous! The system is completely broken when disabled people have to wait years to get benefits they've paid into their whole working lives. My brother waited 18 months and nearly lost his house. No wonder so many disabled people end up homeless while waiting for SSDI approval.
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Natalia Stone
•yeah it was really rough. had to move in with my parents and everything. not fun at 42 years old!!
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Selena Bautista
Any luck reaching someone at SSA to ask about your case status? I've found that's the best way to get actual answers about benefit amounts too.
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Rhett Bowman
•I've tried calling so many times but either get disconnected or told the wait is over 2 hours. I've even tried going to my local office but they're appointment only now and next available is 6 weeks out. It's incredibly frustrating when you're already dealing with health issues.
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Tasia Synder
•I was having the same problem but I used a service called Claimyr (claimyr.com) that got me through to an actual SSA agent in under 10 minutes. They have a video demo at https://youtu.be/Z-BRbJw3puU showing how it works. Saved me hours of frustration and I finally got some answers about my mom's survivor benefits. Might be worth trying since you're stuck in reconsideration limbo and need information.
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Rhett Bowman
•Oh wow, I hadn't heard of that. Thank you! I'll definitely check it out. At this point I'd try almost anything to get some actual answers about my case.
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Mohamed Anderson
Something nobody mentioned is that if you get any workers comp or other public disability payments, SSA will reduce your SSDI by some offset formula. That happened to my husband and his actual SSDI was about $400 less than the estimate because of his state disability payments. Just another thing that can affect the final number.
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Rhett Bowman
•That's good to know, though thankfully I don't have any workers comp or other disability payments. My condition wasn't work-related so I'm just dealing with the straight SSDI process.
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Daniel White
One other factor that can affect your final SSDI amount is the date SSA determines as your disability onset date. If they establish an onset date that's different from when you claimed to become disabled, this can change your benefit calculation. For example, if you claimed disability beginning January 2024, but SSA determines your onset was actually June 2024, this could affect your benefit calculation since it changes the base years used in the formula. Also, the disability freeze provision (which prevents periods of low/no earnings due to disability from reducing your benefits) might impact your final amount positively compared to the estimate.
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Rhett Bowman
•That's fascinating about the disability freeze provision - I had no idea that was a thing! My doctor documented my condition starting about 14 months ago, but I tried to keep working part-time for a while before filing. I wonder if that will affect my onset date determination.
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Natalia Stone
btw make sure your looking at the right estimate on ur statement! theres different amounts for retirement disability and survivors benefits dont mix them up
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Rhett Bowman
•Good point! I definitely was looking at the disability estimate specifically - it was in its own section that said "If you become disabled right now" or something similar.
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Nolan Carter
While you're waiting for a decision, you might want to set up a my Social Security account online if you haven't already. It won't tell you the exact amount you'll get approved for, but it does give you access to your earnings record which is what they use to calculate your benefit. You can at least verify all your work history is correct.
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Rhett Bowman
•Thanks for the suggestion! I do have an account set up, and I've checked my earnings record. Everything looks accurate as far as I can tell. I'm just in that stressful waiting period now, hoping for good news soon.
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