How accurate are SSDI estimated benefit amounts? My SS statement said $2661 but still waiting for approval
I've been dealing with some serious health issues that forced me to stop working last year. Before I applied for disability, I checked my Social Security statement online which said "If you file for disability today your estimated benefit would be $2661." So I went ahead and filed for SSDI about 8 months ago, and I'm still in the waiting game for approval (currently at reconsideration after initial denial). I'm trying to plan my finances and I'm wondering how accurate those disability benefit estimates usually are? Has anyone found that their actual SSDI payment matched what their SS statement estimated? Would hate to budget based on $2661 and then get approved for something way lower. The wait is stressful enough without the financial uncertainty!
42 comments


Abigail Patel
Those estimates can be WAY OFF!! My statement said i'd get $2150 for disability but when i was finally approved after 2 years of fighting they only gave me $1820!!! No explanation just a different number. The SSA NEVER explains anything clearly. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best is all i can say.
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Rhett Bowman
•Oh no, that's exactly what I'm worried about! Did you ever find out why there was such a big difference? I've worked and paid into the system for 22 years so I was counting on that estimate being at least somewhat accurate.
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Daniel White
The estimate on your Social Security statement is generally accurate if you have a consistent work history with steady earnings. However, several factors can affect your final SSDI amount: 1. The SSA uses your highest 35 years of earnings to calculate benefits 2. If you had recent gaps in employment, this could lower the actual amount 3. The estimate assumes you continued working until disability, but if you stopped working earlier, the calculation changes 4. Cost-of-living adjustments might have been applied since your statement was generated You can request a detailed benefit calculation explanation after approval. In my experience helping clients, most estimates are within 10-15% of the final amount, but exceptions definitely exist.
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Rhett Bowman
•Thank you for such a detailed response! This helps a lot. I did have pretty consistent income for most of my career except the last 6 months before filing when I tried working part-time before I couldn't work at all. I wonder if that affected things.
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Abigail Patel
•10-15% still means OP could get over $300 less than what they're expecting! The system is designed to confuse people and there's nothing we can do about it except wait and see what they decide to give us.
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Nolan Carter
I just went through this last year! My statement estimate was pretty close - said $2349 and I got approved for $2298. The small difference was because of some calculation involving my last quarters of work before becoming disabled. The real issue isn't usually the benefit calculation but getting approved at all. Have you considered getting a disability attorney for your reconsideration? They only get paid if you win and it comes from backpay, not your future benefits.
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Rhett Bowman
•That's reassuring that yours was so close! And yes, I actually did hire an attorney after my initial denial. They're handling the reconsideration now. Hoping it helps speed things up!
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Natalia Stone
ive been on SSDI for 5 yrs now and my check is higher than what my statement said it would be! got my first increase this january with the COLA adjustment too. but i had to wait almost 3 yrs to get approved so get ready for a long wait
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Tasia Synder
•3 YEARS?!? That's absolutely ridiculous! The system is completely broken when disabled people have to wait years to get benefits they've paid into their whole working lives. My brother waited 18 months and nearly lost his house. No wonder so many disabled people end up homeless while waiting for SSDI approval.
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Natalia Stone
•yeah it was really rough. had to move in with my parents and everything. not fun at 42 years old!!
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Selena Bautista
Any luck reaching someone at SSA to ask about your case status? I've found that's the best way to get actual answers about benefit amounts too.
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Rhett Bowman
•I've tried calling so many times but either get disconnected or told the wait is over 2 hours. I've even tried going to my local office but they're appointment only now and next available is 6 weeks out. It's incredibly frustrating when you're already dealing with health issues.
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Tasia Synder
•I was having the same problem but I used a service called Claimyr (claimyr.com) that got me through to an actual SSA agent in under 10 minutes. They have a video demo at https://youtu.be/Z-BRbJw3puU showing how it works. Saved me hours of frustration and I finally got some answers about my mom's survivor benefits. Might be worth trying since you're stuck in reconsideration limbo and need information.
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Rhett Bowman
•Oh wow, I hadn't heard of that. Thank you! I'll definitely check it out. At this point I'd try almost anything to get some actual answers about my case.
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Mohamed Anderson
Something nobody mentioned is that if you get any workers comp or other public disability payments, SSA will reduce your SSDI by some offset formula. That happened to my husband and his actual SSDI was about $400 less than the estimate because of his state disability payments. Just another thing that can affect the final number.
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Rhett Bowman
•That's good to know, though thankfully I don't have any workers comp or other disability payments. My condition wasn't work-related so I'm just dealing with the straight SSDI process.
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Daniel White
One other factor that can affect your final SSDI amount is the date SSA determines as your disability onset date. If they establish an onset date that's different from when you claimed to become disabled, this can change your benefit calculation. For example, if you claimed disability beginning January 2024, but SSA determines your onset was actually June 2024, this could affect your benefit calculation since it changes the base years used in the formula. Also, the disability freeze provision (which prevents periods of low/no earnings due to disability from reducing your benefits) might impact your final amount positively compared to the estimate.
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Rhett Bowman
•That's fascinating about the disability freeze provision - I had no idea that was a thing! My doctor documented my condition starting about 14 months ago, but I tried to keep working part-time for a while before filing. I wonder if that will affect my onset date determination.
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Natalia Stone
btw make sure your looking at the right estimate on ur statement! theres different amounts for retirement disability and survivors benefits dont mix them up
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Rhett Bowman
•Good point! I definitely was looking at the disability estimate specifically - it was in its own section that said "If you become disabled right now" or something similar.
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Nolan Carter
While you're waiting for a decision, you might want to set up a my Social Security account online if you haven't already. It won't tell you the exact amount you'll get approved for, but it does give you access to your earnings record which is what they use to calculate your benefit. You can at least verify all your work history is correct.
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Rhett Bowman
•Thanks for the suggestion! I do have an account set up, and I've checked my earnings record. Everything looks accurate as far as I can tell. I'm just in that stressful waiting period now, hoping for good news soon.
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Zadie Patel
I'm going through a similar situation right now - filed for SSDI 6 months ago and still waiting on my initial decision. My statement estimated $2,180 but reading all these responses has me worried it might be different! One thing I learned from my disability attorney is that the estimates can sometimes be based on slightly outdated earnings data, especially if you filed your taxes late or had any corrections to your earnings record. They also mentioned that if you had any "dropout years" (years with very low or no earnings), those get factored in differently for disability calculations vs retirement. The waiting is definitely the hardest part though. Trying to survive financially while hoping for approval is incredibly stressful. Hang in there - sounds like you're doing everything right with getting an attorney involved!
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Levi Parker
•Welcome to the waiting game club! 6 months in and you're probably feeling that anxiety ramp up. I'm at 8 months now and the uncertainty is brutal. That's really interesting about the dropout years being calculated differently - my attorney hasn't mentioned that yet but it makes sense. I had a couple years in my early 20s where I barely worked while in school, so I wonder if that's factoring in somehow. The financial stress while waiting is no joke - I've had to completely restructure my life and it's exhausting on top of dealing with health issues. Thanks for the encouragement and hang in there yourself! Hopefully we both get some good news soon.
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CosmicCowboy
I'm new to this community but going through the SSDI process myself - just filed 3 months ago after my rheumatoid arthritis got too severe to continue working. Reading through all these responses is both helpful and terrifying! My statement estimated $2,890 but now I'm worried it might be way off. One thing that's been stressing me out is that I had to stop working abruptly when my condition flared up badly, so I didn't have time to plan financially for this waiting period. Has anyone found ways to get by while waiting for approval? I'm trying to figure out if there are any interim assistance programs or if I should just prepare for potentially years of waiting like some of you experienced. Also really appreciate the tip about Claimyr - I've been trying to call SSA for weeks with no luck. The whole system feels designed to wear you down before you even get a chance to plead your case.
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Amara Adebayo
•Welcome to the community! I'm sorry you're dealing with RA - that's such a tough condition to manage while trying to navigate this whole process. For interim assistance while waiting, definitely look into local food banks, utility assistance programs, and see if you qualify for emergency Medicaid if you don't have insurance. Some states also have emergency assistance funds for people waiting on disability decisions. Your local 211 service (dial 2-1-1) can connect you with resources in your area. Also ask your attorney about expedited processing if your condition is severe - sometimes they can push for faster decisions in certain cases. The waiting is awful but you're not alone in this struggle!
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Kaiya Rivera
•Welcome to the community and I'm so sorry you're dealing with RA on top of this stressful process! I can definitely relate to having to stop work abruptly - that's exactly what happened to me when my health issues became too severe to continue. For getting by financially while waiting, in addition to what @Amara Adebayo mentioned, you might also want to look into your state s'temporary disability programs if they have one, apply for SNAP benefits if you haven t'already, and see if any local churches or community organizations have emergency assistance funds. Some utility companies also have programs specifically for people with disabilities or medical hardships. The Claimyr service that @Tasia Synder mentioned really did help me finally get through to someone at SSA when I was hitting dead ends everywhere else. It s frustrating'that we have to use third-party services just to talk to the agency we ve been'paying into our whole working lives, but whatever works at this point! Hang in there - this community has been a lifeline for me during this process and hopefully it helps you too. The waiting is brutal but you re definitely'not alone in this struggle.
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Aurora Lacasse
I'm currently going through the SSDI process myself and this thread has been incredibly informative! I filed 4 months ago and my statement estimated $2,455, but after reading everyone's experiences I'm realizing I need to prepare for potential variations. What's really struck me is how many different factors can affect the final amount - from onset dates to workers comp offsets to calculation methods. It seems like the estimates are a decent starting point but there's definitely room for variance in either direction. For those still waiting like me, I've found it helpful to create multiple budget scenarios - one based on the full estimated amount, one at 85% of the estimate, and one worst-case scenario. It's not fun planning but it beats getting blindsided if the actual amount differs significantly. The wait times everyone is mentioning are honestly terrifying though. I knew it would be a long process but hearing about 2-3 year waits while dealing with serious health conditions is just heartbreaking. Really hoping the system improves for all of us going through this. Thanks to everyone who shared their real experiences - it's so much more valuable than the generic info you find on official websites.
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AaliyahAli
•That's such a smart approach with the multiple budget scenarios! I wish I had thought of that earlier in my process - I basically just assumed the estimate would be accurate and didn't plan for variations. Creating those different financial plans is probably one of the most practical pieces of advice I've seen for dealing with this uncertainty. You're absolutely right about the wait times being terrifying. When you're already struggling with health issues and can't work, the idea of waiting years for a decision feels impossible. But this community has really shown me that people do make it through, even when the process is brutal. The real experiences here have been invaluable for me too. The official SSA website makes everything sound so straightforward, but the reality is much more complex. Thanks for adding your perspective and good luck with your case!
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Javier Morales
I'm new to this community and currently going through my own SSDI journey - filed 5 months ago after multiple sclerosis made it impossible to continue my job as a software engineer. My Social Security statement estimated $2,734, but after reading through all these experiences, I'm definitely tempering my expectations! What really stands out to me is how the system seems designed to be as opaque as possible. The fact that we're all here trying to decode estimates and share workarounds like Claimyr just to get basic information about our own cases is pretty telling about how broken the process is. I've been fortunate to have some savings to get by during the wait, but I can't imagine going through this without any financial cushion. The stress of not knowing when (or if) you'll get approved, combined with uncertainty about the actual benefit amount, is incredibly difficult when you're already dealing with serious health conditions. Thanks to everyone who has shared their real experiences - both the positive and negative outcomes. It's so much more helpful than the vague official guidance. Hoping we all get through this process successfully, even if it takes longer than any of us want it to.
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Lucas Parker
•Welcome to the community, and I'm sorry you're dealing with MS on top of this whole SSDI process! As a fellow tech worker (I was in IT before my health issues), I totally understand how frustrating it is to go from having a steady income to this complete uncertainty. You're absolutely right about the system being intentionally opaque - it feels like they make it as confusing and difficult as possible, maybe hoping people will just give up. The fact that we need third-party services and community forums just to get basic information about benefits we've paid into our whole careers is really telling. Having some savings definitely helps with the stress, but even with a cushion it's scary not knowing how long this will drag out. I've been budgeting assuming this could take 1-2 years based on what others have shared here, which is sobering but probably realistic. Your estimated amount sounds pretty solid given your tech background - that's usually steady, well-documented income which should work in your favor for the calculation. Hopefully your case moves through faster than some of the horror stories we've heard here. Thanks for sharing your experience and good luck with everything!
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Zara Khan
I'm also navigating the SSDI process right now - filed about 7 months ago after chronic fatigue syndrome and fibromyalgia made it impossible to continue working. My statement estimated $2,198, but reading everyone's experiences here has been both reassuring and nerve-wracking! What strikes me most is how much the accuracy seems to vary from person to person. Some got very close to their estimates while others had significant differences. It sounds like having consistent work history helps, but there are so many variables that can affect the final calculation. I've been trying to prepare for different scenarios financially, but it's tough when you're already stretched thin from not being able to work. The wait times everyone mentions are honestly terrifying - I'm hoping my case moves faster but trying to mentally prepare for a potentially long haul. Really appreciate everyone sharing their real experiences here. It's so much more valuable than the generic information you find elsewhere. This community has been a lifeline during such an uncertain and stressful time.
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Carmen Diaz
•Welcome to the community, and I'm so sorry you're dealing with chronic fatigue syndrome and fibromyalgia - those are such challenging conditions that are often misunderstood by others, which can make the SSDI process even more difficult. You're absolutely right that the accuracy varies so much from person to person. After reading through all these experiences, it seems like the estimate is a decent starting point but there are just so many factors that can influence the final amount. Your approach of preparing for different financial scenarios sounds really smart given all the uncertainty. 7 months is already a significant wait, and I can only imagine how stressful it must be when you're dealing with conditions that are already so draining. The unpredictability of both the timeline and the final benefit amount just adds another layer of stress to an already overwhelming situation. This community really has been invaluable for getting real, honest perspectives about what to expect. The official resources just don't capture how complex and variable this process actually is. Hoping your case moves through smoothly and you get some positive news soon!
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Rachel Clark
I'm currently in month 10 of waiting for my SSDI decision after filing following a traumatic brain injury that ended my career as a nurse. My statement estimated $2,387, and after reading through all these experiences, I'm cautiously optimistic but preparing for potential variations. What really resonates with me is how emotionally and financially draining this waiting period is. You're already dealing with serious health conditions that forced you to stop working, and then you're thrown into this maze of uncertainty about timelines, approval odds, and benefit amounts. The lack of transparency from SSA throughout the process just adds to the stress. I've found myself checking my case status obsessively online (even though it never changes), and the financial planning aspect is so challenging when you don't know if you'll get approved, when, or for how much. I've had to completely restructure my life around this uncertainty. Thank you to everyone who has shared their real experiences here - both positive and negative. It's helped me set more realistic expectations and feel less alone in this process. For those still waiting like me, we'll get through this somehow, even if it takes longer than we ever imagined it would.
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Anthony Young
•Welcome to the community, Rachel! I'm so sorry you're dealing with a traumatic brain injury - that must have been devastating both personally and professionally, especially coming from a nursing career where you were helping others. 10 months is such a long time to wait when you're already struggling with health issues and financial uncertainty. I completely understand that obsessive case status checking - I think we've all been there! It's so frustrating when the online portal never seems to update with any meaningful information. The lack of communication from SSA during this process really does make everything so much harder when you're already dealing with so much. Your point about having to completely restructure your life around this uncertainty really hits home. It's like being in limbo where you can't move forward but you can't go back either. The emotional toll on top of everything else is just exhausting. Hang in there - 10 months is a significant wait but hopefully you'll hear something soon. This community has been such a source of support and real information during my own journey, and I'm glad you found it too. We really will get through this, even when it feels impossible some days.
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Max Knight
I'm new to this community and currently going through the SSDI process myself - filed about 6 months ago after degenerative disc disease made it impossible to continue my job in construction. My Social Security statement estimated $2,523, but after reading through all these experiences here, I'm definitely preparing myself for the possibility that the actual amount could be different. What really strikes me about everyone's stories is how much the process varies from person to person - some get amounts very close to their estimates while others see significant differences. It seems like there are so many factors that can influence the final calculation that aren't obvious from the estimate alone. The waiting period has been incredibly stressful, both financially and emotionally. I've had to move in with family and completely change how I budget, not knowing when (or if) I'll get approved or what the actual benefit amount will be. The uncertainty is almost harder to deal with than the physical pain some days. I really appreciate everyone sharing their real experiences here - both the success stories and the frustrating delays. It's given me a much more realistic picture of what to expect than anything I could find on official websites. For those of us still in the waiting game, it helps to know we're not alone in this challenging process.
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Dylan Campbell
•Welcome to the community, Max! I'm sorry you're dealing with degenerative disc disease - that's such a painful condition and construction work must have been incredibly difficult to manage with that. 6 months of waiting is already significant, and I can really relate to that financial and emotional stress you're describing. You're absolutely right about how much the process varies from person to person. After reading through everyone's experiences here, it seems like the estimates can be pretty accurate for some people but there are just so many variables that can affect the final amount - from onset dates to work history gaps to various offsets. It's frustrating that there's no clear way to predict exactly what you'll receive. Having to move in with family while waiting is such a hard adjustment, especially when you're already dealing with physical pain and the stress of not knowing when you'll get an answer. The uncertainty really does add another layer of difficulty to an already challenging situation. This community has been invaluable for me too in understanding what to realistically expect. The official information just doesn't capture how complex and unpredictable this whole process can be. Hang in there - hopefully your case moves through smoothly and you get some positive news soon. You're definitely not alone in this struggle!
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Zoe Stavros
I'm also going through this process right now - filed 9 months ago after multiple chronic conditions made it impossible to continue working in healthcare. My statement estimated $2,412 but reading everyone's experiences here has really opened my eyes to how variable the actual amounts can be. What's been most helpful from this thread is understanding all the different factors that can affect the final calculation - things like onset date determination, the disability freeze provision, workers comp offsets, and even recent work gaps. I had no idea there were so many variables beyond just your basic earnings history. The waiting game is absolutely brutal, especially when you're already dealing with health issues and financial stress. I've learned to stop checking my case status daily (it never changes anyway!) and focus on what I can control - like following up with my attorney and making sure all my medical documentation is current. For anyone else in the waiting phase, I'd definitely recommend the multiple budget scenario approach that @Aurora Lacasse mentioned. Planning for 85-100% of your estimate helps avoid getting caught off guard if the actual amount differs. Thanks to everyone who shared their real experiences - this community has been such a valuable resource during one of the most stressful times in my life.
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Ella Thompson
•Welcome to the community, Zoe! 9 months is such a long wait already, and I can really relate to that combination of health issues and financial stress making everything so much harder. It sounds like you're in healthcare too - that must have been really difficult to have to leave a career where you were helping others. You're so right about all those factors affecting the final calculation that aren't obvious upfront. I had no idea about things like the disability freeze provision until @Daniel White explained it earlier in this thread. It really shows how complex the system is beyond what they show you in the basic estimates. The daily case status checking is such a trap! I fell into that same pattern for months before I realized it was just adding to my stress without providing any useful information. Focusing on what you can actually control, like staying in touch with your attorney and keeping medical records updated, is much better for your mental health. That budget scenario approach really is brilliant - I wish I had thought to do that from the beginning instead of just assuming the estimate would be accurate. Planning for different possibilities definitely helps reduce some of the anxiety about the unknown. This community has been a lifeline for me during this process too. Hang in there - hopefully you get some positive news soon after such a long wait!
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Dmitry Kuznetsov
I'm currently 11 months into my SSDI application process after a spinal cord injury ended my career in physical therapy. My statement estimated $2,156, but reading through everyone's experiences here has been both eye-opening and nerve-wracking about how much the actual amount might vary. What really stands out to me from this discussion is how many hidden factors can impact the final calculation that aren't explained anywhere in the official materials. Things like the disability freeze provision, onset date determinations, and how recent work gaps are calculated - I had no idea about any of this when I first applied. The financial uncertainty during this waiting period has been incredibly challenging. I've had to rely on family support and completely restructure my budget multiple times as the months drag on. The emotional toll of not knowing when you'll get a decision (or what that decision will be) while you're already dealing with serious health issues is honestly overwhelming some days. I really appreciate how open everyone has been about their real experiences - both positive and negative outcomes. It's given me a much more realistic understanding of what to expect than anything I could find on official websites. For those of us still waiting, knowing we're not alone in this frustrating process makes such a difference. The tip about Claimyr is definitely something I'm going to try - I've been stuck in the same phone queue nightmare that others have described. At this point I'm willing to try anything to get some actual information about my case status.
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Jordan Walker
•Welcome to the community, Dmitry! I'm so sorry you're dealing with a spinal cord injury - that must have been devastating both personally and professionally, especially coming from a physical therapy background where you were helping others with similar challenges. 11 months is an incredibly long wait when you're already struggling with such significant health issues. You've really captured something important about how many hidden factors can affect the calculation that nobody tells you about upfront. I've learned more from this community discussion than from all the official SSA materials combined. It's frustrating that we have to piece together this information ourselves when we're already dealing with so much. The emotional and financial toll of this waiting period while managing a spinal cord injury sounds absolutely overwhelming. Having to rely on family and constantly restructure your budget as months drag on adds so much stress to an already impossible situation. The uncertainty really is one of the hardest parts - not knowing when you'll get answers while your life is essentially on hold. Definitely try the Claimyr service that others mentioned - anything that can help you get actual information about your case status seems worth trying at this point. The regular SSA phone system is clearly not working for any of us. Hang in there - 11 months is such a long wait but hopefully you'll hear something soon. This community has been such a source of support during these difficult journeys, and you're absolutely not alone in this struggle.
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Gemma Andrews
I'm also currently navigating the SSDI process - filed about 4 months ago after lupus made it impossible to continue my work as a teacher. My Social Security statement estimated $2,298, but after reading through all these detailed experiences, I'm definitely preparing myself for the possibility that the actual amount could be quite different. What's been most valuable from this discussion is learning about all the factors that can influence the final calculation that I had never heard of before - the disability freeze provision, how onset dates are determined, workers comp offsets, and how gaps in recent employment are handled. It's clear that the estimates are just a starting point and there are many variables that can affect the final amount. The waiting period has been incredibly stressful both financially and emotionally. I've had to move back in with my parents at age 34, which is humbling but necessary. The uncertainty about timing and benefit amounts makes it almost impossible to plan for the future when you're already dealing with a chronic illness that requires ongoing medical care. I'm definitely going to try the Claimyr service that several people mentioned - I've spent hours on hold with SSA only to get disconnected or transferred endlessly. It's frustrating that we need third-party services just to get basic information about our own cases. Thank you to everyone who shared their real experiences here. This thread has been more informative than months of trying to decode official SSA materials. For those of us still in the waiting process, it helps so much to know we're not alone in this challenging journey.
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