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Hugh Intensity

Stock sale with gains - should I make estimated tax payment to the IRS?

I make around $175-200k annually and fortunately live in a state with no income tax. My employer handles the usual withholding for my regular income. Just sold a significant portion of my mutual fund portfolio (was trying to reduce those annoying fees) and ended up with roughly $27k in capital gains. Now I'm wondering if I need to submit an estimated tax payment to the IRS to avoid getting hit with penalties when I file next year. Should I be making a payment through their estimated tax portal? And if so, how much should I be putting aside for this? Don't want to get blindsided with a huge penalty come tax time!

You're smart to be thinking about this now instead of waiting until filing time! The general rule is that you need to pay at least 90% of your current year tax or 100% of last year's tax liability (110% if your AGI was over $150,000) through withholding or estimated payments to avoid an underpayment penalty. Since your income is over $150,000, you'll need to make sure you're covered under the safe harbor provision by paying at least 110% of last year's tax liability through withholding and estimated payments combined. With $27k in capital gains, you're looking at roughly $4-6k in additional tax depending on whether these were long-term or short-term gains. The easiest approach is to check your last year's total tax (line 24 on your 2024 Form 1040) and make sure your total withholding plus any estimated payments will reach 110% of that amount.

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Does it matter when during the year you sell the stocks? Like if I sold some in December vs January, does that change when I need to make the estimated payment?

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Yes, timing does matter. The IRS uses a quarterly estimated tax system with payments due on April 15, June 15, September 15, and January 15 of the following year. You're generally expected to pay the tax in the quarter when you receive the income. If you sell stocks in December, that falls in the fourth quarter, so technically that estimated payment would be due by January 15. If you sell in January, that's in the first quarter of the new tax year, with payment due April 15. That said, if your regular withholding already meets the 110% of prior year tax safe harbor, you don't need to make additional estimated payments regardless of when you sell.

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After dealing with a similar capital gains situation last year, I found taxr.ai (https://taxr.ai) super helpful for figuring out my estimated tax payments. You just upload your most recent tax return and investment statements, and it calculates exactly how much you need to pay to avoid penalties. It analyzes your withholding and previous tax liability to determine if you're already covered under the safe harbor rules. I was worried about a $30k capital gain from selling some tech stocks, and it saved me from overpaying by showing I was already meeting the safe harbor requirement through my regular withholding. Worth checking out since it specifically addresses your situation.

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How accurate is it though? Does it take into account the state tax situation? I live in CA and never know how to handle the state portion of capital gains.

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Seems convenient, but how does it handle unusual tax situations? I've got some partnership income along with my capital gains and most calculators don't handle that well.

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It's extremely accurate for federal taxes - it uses the same calculations the IRS uses for determining if you'll face penalties. For your state tax question, it handles state-specific calculations for all 50 states including California's higher capital gains rates. You just indicate your state during setup. For unusual tax situations like partnership income, it actually excels at those complex scenarios. It analyzes each income source separately (including K-1 income) and calculates the estimated tax impact based on your specific tax bracket. I was surprised by how well it handled my rental property depreciation alongside my capital gains.

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Just wanted to follow up about taxr.ai since I gave it a try after seeing it mentioned here. I uploaded my 2024 return and my recent investment statements showing about $18k in capital gains. It showed me that I was actually already meeting the safe harbor with my current withholding (barely!), so I didn't need to make an estimated payment. What I really liked was how it showed exactly where my withholding stood compared to what I needed. It calculated that I was on track to cover 111% of my previous year's liability through regular withholding alone. Saved me from making an unnecessary payment and the dashboard made it super clear where I stood. Definitely recommend for anyone in a similar situation with investment gains.

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If you need to actually speak with the IRS about your estimated tax situation (I did when I had a similar capital gains issue), I highly recommend using Claimyr (https://claimyr.com). I spent hours trying to get through to the IRS directly about my estimated tax payment questions and kept getting disconnected. Claimyr got me connected to an actual IRS agent in about 15 minutes who answered all my questions about my capital gains situation. They have this clever system that navigates the IRS phone tree and holds your place in line, then calls you when an agent is available. You can see how it works here: https://youtu.be/_kiP6q8DX5c Made a huge difference for me when I was trying to figure out if I needed to make estimated payments for a large stock sale similar to yours.

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How does this actually work? Seems weird that some service can get you through faster than calling directly. Does it cost money?

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Yeah right. Nothing can get you through to the IRS faster. I'll believe it when I see it. I've spent literal days of my life on hold with the IRS.

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It doesn't actually get you through faster than others in the queue - it just handles the waiting for you. Their system calls the IRS, navigates through all the annoying menu options, and sits on hold in your place. When an actual human IRS agent picks up, their system calls your phone and connects you directly. The big advantage is you don't have to physically stay on the line listening to hold music for hours. You can go about your day, and they call you when an agent is available. For the skepticism, I totally get it - I felt the same way. But when I got connected to an actual IRS agent within 15 minutes of my callback (after their system had been on hold for about 1.5 hours), I was convinced. Just saved me from being physically tethered to my phone all that time.

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I need to eat my words and follow up about Claimyr. After my skeptical comment I figured "what the heck" and tried it when I needed to ask about my estimated tax forms. Not only did it work, but it saved me an entire afternoon. Their system was on hold with the IRS for about 2 hours (which I could see in their tracker), but I was out running errands that whole time. Got a call when an agent was on the line, and got my questions about Form 1040-ES sorted out in minutes. For someone who's spent countless hours on hold with the IRS in the past, this was a complete game-changer. Definitely using this for all my IRS calls from now on.

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Another option instead of making an estimated payment is to increase your withholding from your paycheck for the rest of the year. The IRS treats withholding as happening evenly throughout the year, even if you increase it late in the year. That can help you avoid the underpayment penalty without having to figure out the quarterly estimated payment system. Talk to your payroll department about submitting a new W-4 with additional withholding on line 4(c). Just divide your expected tax from the capital gains by the number of paychecks you have left this year.

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Does that really work? I thought you had to make the estimated payments by the quarterly due dates or face penalties?

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Yes, it absolutely works and is actually one of the "secrets" to avoiding estimated tax penalties! The IRS treats withholding from your paycheck as if it occurred evenly throughout the year, even if you increase your withholding in December. This is different from estimated payments, which must be made by their quarterly due dates. By adjusting your W-4 to withhold more from your remaining paychecks, you can essentially "catch up" on tax payments that would have been due earlier in the year without facing penalties. It's one of the best strategies for people who realize late in the year that they might owe additional tax.

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Do you know if these were long-term or short-term capital gains? Makes a huge difference in the tax rate you'll pay and how much you should set aside.

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This is important! Long-term capital gains (held > 1 year) are taxed at 15% or 20% depending on your income bracket, while short-term are taxed at your regular income rate, which could be 32% or higher at your income level.

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The safe harbor rule mentioned earlier is definitely your best bet here. At your income level ($175-200k), you need to pay 110% of last year's tax liability to avoid penalties. One thing to consider - if your $27k gain was from mutual funds you held for more than a year, you're looking at long-term capital gains rates (likely 15% in your bracket), so roughly $4,050 in additional tax. If they were short-term, it gets taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate (probably 24% or 32%), which could be $6,480-$8,640. Check your 2024 tax return (line 24) and multiply by 1.10. If your current withholding plus any estimated payments you've already made will reach that amount, you're safe from penalties regardless of the capital gains. If not, you can either make an estimated payment or increase your payroll withholding for the rest of the year (which gets treated as if it was withheld evenly throughout the year). The IRS estimated tax portal is pretty straightforward if you do need to make a payment - just search for "Form 1040ES" on their website.

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This is really helpful! I'm in a similar boat but with a smaller gain (~$15k). Quick question - when you say "current withholding plus any estimated payments," does that include what's already been withheld from my paychecks so far this year? I want to make sure I'm calculating this correctly before deciding whether I need to make a payment or just increase my W-4 withholding.

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Yes, exactly! "Current withholding" includes all the federal income tax that's already been withheld from your paychecks this year (you can see this on your most recent pay stub as "Federal Income Tax" or "FIT"). So the calculation would be: (Last year's total tax from line 24 × 1.10) - (YTD federal withholding from paystubs + any estimated payments you've made) = amount you still need to cover. If that number is positive, you either need to make an estimated payment or increase your W-4 withholding. If it's negative or zero, you're already covered by the safe harbor rule and don't need to worry about penalties from your capital gains. With a $15k gain, you're probably looking at $2,250-4,500 in additional tax depending on whether it's long-term vs short-term, so definitely worth running the numbers!

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Great question! With your income level and that $27k gain, you definitely want to be proactive about this. The key thing to remember is that at your income bracket ($175-200k), you'll need to meet the 110% safe harbor rule to avoid underpayment penalties. Here's what I'd recommend: First, grab your 2024 tax return and look at line 24 (total tax). Multiply that by 1.10 - that's your safe harbor target. Then check your recent pay stubs to see how much federal income tax has been withheld year-to-date. If your current withholding trajectory will hit that 110% number by December, you're golden and don't need to make any estimated payments. If you're going to fall short, you have two options: make an estimated payment through the IRS website (Form 1040ES), or increase your W-4 withholding for the remaining pay periods this year. The W-4 route is often easier since the IRS treats payroll withholding as if it happened evenly throughout the year, even if you boost it in the final months. For rough planning purposes, if those were long-term capital gains (held >1 year), you're looking at about 15% tax rate on the $27k, so roughly $4,050. Short-term gains would be taxed at your ordinary income rate, which could be 24-32% at your income level. The peace of mind is worth getting this sorted now rather than dealing with penalties later!

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This is exactly the kind of clear breakdown I was looking for! Just to make sure I understand the timing correctly - if I decide to go the estimated payment route instead of adjusting my W-4, when would that payment need to be made? Since I sold the stocks recently, would this fall under the current quarter's estimated tax deadline, or do I have until the next filing season to get it sorted as long as I hit that 110% safe harbor number by year-end?

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Great question about timing! For estimated payments, the IRS operates on a quarterly system with specific due dates. If you sold your stocks in the current quarter, technically the estimated payment for that income should be made by the quarter's due date (April 15, June 15, September 15, or January 15 depending on when you sold). However, here's the key point: if you're using the safe harbor rule (110% of prior year tax), the IRS doesn't care about the quarterly timing as much. As long as your total payments (withholding + estimated payments) reach that 110% threshold by December 31st, you'll avoid underpayment penalties regardless of when during the year you make the payments. That said, if you're going to make an estimated payment, it's generally better to do it sooner rather than later to avoid any potential complications. But the beauty of the safe harbor rule is that it gives you flexibility - you could even wait until January 15th to make the payment and still be covered for the prior year's taxes as long as you hit that 110% target. The W-4 withholding adjustment route is often simpler because it automatically gets you there by year-end without worrying about quarterly deadlines!

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One thing that hasn't been mentioned yet - make sure you account for any mutual fund distributions that might have already happened this year! Since you mentioned you were trying to reduce fees by selling mutual funds, you may have received taxable distributions earlier in the year that would also count toward your tax liability. Check your 1099-DIV forms (or year-end statements if you haven't received them yet) to see if you had any capital gains distributions, dividends, or other taxable events from those funds before you sold them. These could add to your total tax bill beyond just the $27k gain from the sale itself. This is especially important for actively managed mutual funds, which often distribute capital gains to shareholders in December. If you held these funds at any point during their distribution dates, you might owe tax on those distributions even if you reinvested them or sold the shares later. Just want to make sure you're calculating your total additional tax liability accurately when determining whether you need to make estimated payments or adjust your withholding!

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This is such an important point that often gets overlooked! I made this exact mistake a few years ago when I sold some actively managed funds. I calculated my estimated taxes based only on the sale proceeds but completely forgot about the December capital gains distribution I had received earlier that year. Ended up owing more than I expected because I hadn't factored in that additional taxable income. For anyone in a similar situation, your brokerage should have records of any distributions throughout the year. Most brokerages also have year-end tax summaries that show all your taxable events in one place - definitely worth pulling that before doing your safe harbor calculations. The last thing you want is to think you're covered only to find out you missed some taxable distributions that push you over the threshold!

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One additional consideration that might help with your decision - if you're already maxing out your 401(k) contributions, you could potentially increase those for the remainder of the year instead of (or in addition to) adjusting your W-4 withholding. This would reduce your taxable income for the year, which could help offset some of the tax impact from your $27k capital gain. At your income level, you're likely eligible to contribute the full $23,000 to your 401(k) for 2025 (or $30,500 if you're 50+). If you haven't maxed it out yet, increasing your contribution percentage for the remaining pay periods could serve double duty - reducing your current year tax liability while also boosting your retirement savings. Just make sure to coordinate this with any W-4 adjustments you make, since increasing your 401(k) contributions will also reduce the amount of federal income tax withheld from each paycheck. You might need to withhold slightly more on your W-4 to compensate, but the overall tax savings from the additional 401(k) contributions could be significant given your bracket. Worth running the numbers both ways to see which approach gives you the best outcome!

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That's a really smart strategy I hadn't considered! The 401(k) route could be especially beneficial since it attacks the problem from both sides - reducing taxable income while still ensuring adequate tax payments. One thing to keep in mind though is the timing constraint. If you're going to significantly increase 401(k) contributions for the remaining months, make sure your payroll system can handle the higher contribution amounts without hitting plan limits or causing issues with your employer's matching calculations. Also, depending on how late in the year you are, you might need some pretty aggressive contribution increases to meaningfully impact this year's tax situation. But even if it doesn't completely offset the capital gains tax, every bit helps, and you're building long-term wealth in the process. Definitely worth checking with your HR department about the logistics of making mid-year contribution changes.

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Thanks for sharing this question - it's exactly the kind of situation that catches a lot of people off guard! I went through something similar a couple years back when I sold some company stock options. One thing I'd add to the great advice already given: if you decide to go the estimated payment route, the IRS website actually has a pretty decent calculator tool (search for "estimated tax worksheet") that can help you figure out exactly how much to pay. It walks you through the safe harbor calculations step by step. Also, don't forget to keep good records of whatever approach you choose. If you increase your W-4 withholding, save a copy of the new form and note when you submitted it. If you make estimated payments, keep those confirmation numbers. Come tax time next year, you'll want to be able to show the IRS exactly how you handled the additional tax liability from your capital gains. One last thought - if this mutual fund sale was part of a broader portfolio rebalancing, you might want to consider whether any tax-loss harvesting opportunities exist in your remaining holdings to help offset some of these gains. But that's probably a separate conversation!

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Great point about keeping detailed records! I learned this lesson the hard way when the IRS questioned some of my estimated payments a few years back. Having those confirmation numbers saved me hours of headache trying to reconstruct what I had paid and when. The IRS estimated tax worksheet you mentioned is definitely helpful, though I found it a bit clunky to use. One tip for anyone going that route - if you're married filing jointly, make sure you're using the right worksheet version since the calculations differ slightly. On the tax-loss harvesting idea, that's brilliant timing advice! If you have any losing positions in taxable accounts, now would be a great time to realize those losses to offset the $27k gain. Just watch out for the wash sale rules if you want to buy back similar securities within 30 days.

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Here's a quick action plan based on your situation: First, pull out your 2024 tax return and find line 24 (total tax). Multiply that by 1.10 - this is your safe harbor target that will protect you from penalties. Next, check your most recent pay stub to see your year-to-date federal income tax withholding. If your current withholding pace will hit that 110% target by December 31st, you're already covered and don't need to do anything additional. If you'll fall short, you have two solid options: 1. **Increase W-4 withholding** (often easier) - Submit a new W-4 to your payroll department with additional withholding on line 4(c). The IRS treats payroll withholding as happening evenly throughout the year, even if you boost it late in the year. 2. **Make estimated payment** - Use the IRS estimated tax portal (Form 1040ES) to make a direct payment. For your $27k gain, you're looking at roughly $4k-8k in additional tax depending on whether these were long-term (15% rate) or short-term (24-32% at your income level) capital gains. The key advantage of the safe harbor rule at your income level is that once you hit that 110% threshold, you're protected from penalties regardless of how much you actually owe. Don't let this stress you out too much - you're being smart by planning ahead!

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