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Oliver Schulz

Does raising the minimum wage cause unemployment - worried about my Washington ESD claim

I've been on unemployment for 2 months now and keep hearing politicians argue about minimum wage increases causing more unemployment. I'm genuinely worried - if they raise Washington's minimum wage again, will that make it even harder for me to find work? My claim is already under adjudication and I'm stressed about whether employers will just hire fewer people if wages go up. Has anyone noticed this affecting their job search through WorkSource? I don't want to be stuck on UI benefits forever but I'm scared the job market will get worse.

The relationship between minimum wage and unemployment is actually pretty complex. Washington has raised minimum wage several times and our unemployment rate has generally stayed stable or improved. Most economic studies show minimal impact on overall employment levels, especially in service industries where many entry-level jobs are.

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That's somewhat reassuring. I've been looking mostly at retail and food service jobs through WorkSource WA. Do you think those sectors would be affected differently?

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Those sectors tend to be less sensitive to wage increases because they can't easily outsource or automate those positions. Plus consumer spending often increases when wages rise.

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I wouldn't worry too much about it. Been through several wage increases in WA and honestly the bigger issue is just getting Washington ESD to process claims quickly. Have you tried calling them about your adjudication? I know the wait times are terrible.

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I've tried calling so many times but can never get through. It just hangs up on me after being on hold forever.

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Same problem here! I found this service called Claimyr that actually gets you through to Washington ESD agents. Check out claimyr.com - they have a demo video at https://youtu.be/7DieNd3C7zQ that shows how it works. Saved me hours of calling.

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Really? How does that work exactly? I'm desperate to talk to someone about my adjudication status.

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The economic research on this is mixed but leans toward minimal employment effects. Washington state has been a good natural experiment - we've had significant minimum wage increases and our labor market has remained relatively strong. Your bigger concern should be getting your claim resolved.

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MIXED? Every conservative economist says it kills jobs! Small businesses can't afford to pay $15+ an hour for basic work!!!

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The empirical evidence doesn't support that claim consistently. Card and Krueger's foundational study and many subsequent ones show very small effects, if any.

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Academic studies vs real world experience... I've seen plenty of restaurants cut hours when wages went up

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Look, forget the politics for now. Focus on your immediate situation - getting that adjudication resolved and finding work. The job market factors are way more complex than just minimum wage policy.

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You're right. I just get anxious reading all this conflicting information online while I'm waiting for Washington ESD to make a decision.

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Totally understandable. Have you been keeping up with your weekly claims while in adjudication? That's crucial even when waiting.

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Yes, I file every week religiously. Just worried about the whole process dragging on.

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ugh this debate again... minimum wage went up in Seattle years ago and the sky didn't fall. There are so many other factors affecting employment - automation, economic cycles, industry changes. Your unemployment claim has nothing to do with wage policy.

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Exactly. OP should focus on what they can control - job searching, maintaining their claim status, meeting WorkSource requirements.

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True, I should probably spend less time reading economic debates and more time on job applications!

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Been unemployed twice in WA during minimum wage increases. Honestly didn't notice any difference in job availability. What matters more is your industry, skills, and local market conditions. Don't let political arguments stress you out while you're already dealing with UI claims.

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That's helpful perspective. What industry were you in? I'm coming from hospitality/customer service.

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Retail and later office work. Hospitality actually tends to do okay with wage increases because tips often adjust upward too.

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I used Claimyr when I had adjudication issues last year. Really helped me get through to Washington ESD to understand why my claim was delayed. Worth checking out if you're stuck in the system.

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The whole minimum wage debate is mostly political theater. Real factors affecting unemployment are way more complex - technological change, global competition, business cycles, demographic shifts. Washington state's economy has been pretty resilient despite multiple wage increases.

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Political theater?? Tell that to small business owners who have to lay people off!

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The data shows most small businesses adjust through slightly higher prices or improved efficiency, not mass layoffs. Anecdotes aren't data.

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My restaurant did reduce hours when wages went up but we also raised prices and it evened out after a few months. Initial adjustment period was rough though.

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Why are we debating economic theory when OP needs practical help with their Washington ESD claim? Getting stuck in adjudication is way more likely to affect your financial situation than future wage policy changes.

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You're absolutely right. I should focus on resolving my immediate claim issues rather than worrying about hypothetical policy effects.

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Have you tried reaching out to your local WorkSource office? Sometimes they can help navigate Washington ESD issues or at least point you in the right direction.

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Good idea. I'll contact them tomorrow. Thanks for refocusing me on actionable steps!

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Honestly, minimum wage increases tend to have very localized effects. Some sectors might see small adjustments, others might not change at all. Your individual job search success depends way more on your skills, network, and persistence than on macro wage policy.

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That makes sense. I've been so focused on external factors instead of what I can actually control in my job search.

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Exactly! And if your adjudication is taking forever, definitely look into that Claimyr service someone mentioned earlier. Getting clarity on your claim status is probably more important than economic policy debates right now.

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I work in HR and we've been through several minimum wage increases in Washington. We adjust our budgets accordingly but rarely change our overall hiring plans because of wage rates alone. Market demand for our services matters way more than labor costs.

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That's really helpful insight from someone actually making hiring decisions. Do you think the current job market is decent for someone with customer service experience?

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Customer service skills are always in demand, especially if you're flexible about industries. Don't limit yourself to just hospitality - lots of sectors need people with those skills.

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This! I transitioned from restaurant work to insurance customer service. Similar skills, better benefits, more stable hours.

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The research consensus is pretty clear that modest minimum wage increases have minimal employment effects. Washington's experience supports this - we've had steady increases and maintained relatively low unemployment rates compared to national averages.

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Plus Washington's higher wages mean more consumer spending, which creates more jobs in service industries. It's not a zero-sum game.

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I hadn't thought about the increased spending effect. That actually makes a lot of sense for retail and service jobs.

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Right, and higher wages also reduce turnover costs for employers. Less training, less recruitment expenses. There are offsetting benefits.

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Stop overthinking this! Focus on your job search and getting your Washington ESD issues resolved. The economy will do what it does regardless of your worrying about it.

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You're totally right. I tend to spiral into these big picture worries when I should be taking concrete action on my situation.

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Same here when I was unemployed. Spent way too much time reading doom and gloom articles instead of applying for jobs. Action beats anxiety every time.

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Minimum wage is just one factor among many. Industry consolidation, automation, outsourcing, economic cycles - all these have way bigger impacts on employment than wage floors. Don't let political debates distract you from your job search.

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Thanks everyone for the perspective. I'm going to focus on practical steps - contacting WorkSource, maybe trying that Claimyr service, and putting more energy into applications rather than reading economic debates.

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Good plan! And remember to keep filing those weekly claims even during adjudication. Don't want to lose benefits over a technicality.

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Definitely doing that. Really appreciate all the advice from everyone here!

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