Social Security benefit amount discrepancy between online estimate and SSA phone representative - which is accurate?
I'm planning to file for early retirement in a few months (still about 2.5 years from my FRA). Today I logged into my MySocialSecurity account to check my estimated benefit amount if I were to file right now. The website shows I'd get $1,850/month. But then I called SSA to verify, and the rep quoted me only $1,675 for the same scenario! When I mentioned the online amount was higher, she just said 'the phone quote is more accurate' but wouldn't explain why there's nearly a $200 difference. Has anyone experienced this kind of discrepancy? Which number should I actually trust for my planning? The gap is big enough that it affects my decision about when to file.
18 comments
KingKongZilla
The online estimate is often based on assumptions about your future earnings until your retirement age. The phone rep is probably using your actual earnings record with no future earnings projected. Did you stop working recently or reduce your hours? That would explain the difference, since the online calculator might still be assuming you're earning at your previous level.
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Bethany Groves
•That makes sense! I did actually switch to part-time work last year (making about 40% less than before). But I thought when I selected 'calculate benefits if I retire at age X' on the website, it would use my current earnings record without projections? Is that not how it works?
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Rebecca Johnston
same thing happened to me!! online said $2145 but when i filed the actualy amount was $1890. so frustrating and nobody explains it well. i think the online thing is like an estimate or something but still why have it if its so wrong
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Nathan Dell
•The SSA's online calculators use your highest 35 years of earnings and sometimes make assumptions about future earnings. The actual calculation when you file is more precise and accounts for exact months of eligibility, recent earnings updates, and other factors that might not be in the online version.
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Maya Jackson
There are actually a few different calculators that SSA uses, and they can produce different results. The Quick Calculator on the website makes more general assumptions, while the rep on the phone has access to a more detailed calculation tool that considers additional factors. Some possible reasons for the discrepancy: 1. The online tool may be using older earnings data if your most recent year isn't updated yet 2. The online calculator might be making different indexing assumptions 3. The rep may be including adjustments like WEP (Windfall Elimination Provision) if you had non-covered employment 4. The online estimate could be using different rounding methods If you want the most accurate figure, you should request a detailed benefit calculation from SSA, known as a PEBES (Personal Earnings and Benefit Estimate Statement). That will show exactly how they're calculating your PIA (Primary Insurance Amount).
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Bethany Groves
•Thank you! This is really helpful. I had no idea there were so many factors involved. I don't think WEP applies in my case, but the indexing assumptions and earnings data timing could explain it. I'll definitely request that PEBES statement.
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Tristan Carpenter
I had the same issue but the other way around!! Rep quoted me higher than online. I went with it and actually got the higher amount. Sometimes I think it just depends which rep you talk to tbh
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Amaya Watson
This is a classic SSA problem - left hand doesn't know what the right is doing!!! The website calculations are NOTORIOUSLY off. I've been dealing with this for 3 yrs now trying to plan my retirement. EVERY TIME I call I get a different answer. Last week one rep told me $1825 and then I called again the next day and got quoted $1760!!! How are we supposed to plan with this garbage information?? And don't even get me started on trying to reach someone competent on the phone. I wasted 4 HOURS last month on hold only to be disconnected TWICE.
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Grant Vikers
•I had similar frustrations trying to reach SSA until I found Claimyr (claimyr.com). They get you connected to a live SS agent without the endless hold times. Saved me hours of frustration when I was trying to sort out my benefit calculation discrepancies. They have a quick video demo here: https://youtu.be/Z-BRbJw3puU that shows how it works. It's how I finally got someone to explain why my online estimate was so different from what I was being told over the phone.
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Nathan Dell
The difference is likely due to the approach each system uses to calculate your benefit. The online calculator makes certain assumptions and projections that may not be entirely accurate for your specific situation. Based on my experience, the rep's calculation is typically more accurate because they have access to the most up-to-date information and can apply specific rules to your case. The $175 difference you're seeing could be due to several factors: 1. Earnings record differences (latest earnings not yet recorded online) 2. Different calculation methods (online tools use approximations) 3. Early retirement reduction factors being applied differently 4. Cost of Living Adjustments (COLAs) being calculated differently I would recommend asking the rep specifically what's causing the discrepancy. Request they walk through the calculation with you. If they won't, call back and try a different rep.
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Bethany Groves
•Thank you for the detailed explanation. I'll definitely call again and ask for a step-by-step breakdown of how they're calculating it. I just wish they were more transparent about the fact that the online tool might be significantly off!
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Rebecca Johnston
im so confused about all these calculatons! does this mean i should always call instead of trusting the website?? also whats FRA mean?
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KingKongZilla
•FRA = Full Retirement Age. It's when you can get 100% of your benefit. For people born 1943-1954 it's 66, and it gradually increases to 67 for people born in 1960 or later. And yes, if you want the most accurate figure, calling is better than the website estimates - but ask the rep to explain their calculation.
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Tristan Carpenter
My cousin works for ssa and says the online calculators r simplified versions. Phone reps have the real thing
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KingKongZilla
One thing no one's mentioned is that the online estimate might not be correctly applying the early retirement reduction. If you're filing 2.5 years before your FRA, there's approximately a 13.75% reduction (0.5% per month for the first 36 months). The online calculator sometimes applies these reductions differently than the actual processing system the reps use. Also, sometimes the online system doesn't properly account for the month of entitlement and payment rules. Benefits are paid the month after they're due, and there's a 1-month lag in the first payment that sometimes isn't factored into online estimates.
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Bethany Groves
•That's an excellent point about the early retirement reduction. I noticed the rep seemed to be calculating something month-by-month while I was on the phone, but she wasn't explaining what she was doing. The payment timing aspect is also new information to me - thank you!
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Amaya Watson
Update us after you call back! I'm curious what they say about the discrepancy. My experience is that half the reps don't know the rules themselves very well so keep calling until you get someone who seems knowledgeable.
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Bethany Groves
•Will do! I'm planning to call again tomorrow morning. I've found that's when I have the best luck getting through. And I'll definitely try again if the first rep can't explain it clearly.
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