Are 2024 Tax Refunds Lower Than Last Year? Need to File Soon.
I have not filed my taxes yet. Heard refunds are lower this year. Is this true? Any changes to tax brackets? What deductions changed? Need to decide on investment sales timing. Should I wait to file?
18 comments
Anita George
I just filed last week and noticed this trend too! My refund was about 18% lower than last year despite similar income. Several tax credits that were temporarily expanded during COVID have reverted to pre-pandemic levels. The Child Tax Credit went back to $2,000 per child from the expanded $3,600/$3,000. Same with the Child and Dependent Care Credit - it's much less generous now. I always prepare early but waited to file until I understood all the changes this year.
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Abigail Spencer
But are refunds actually lower across the board? Or is it just for people with specific credits? What about standard filers with simple W-2 income?
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Logan Chiang
Thank you for the detailed breakdown! My Child Tax Credit dropped by exactly $1,600 per child, which explains my $3,200 lower refund. The numbers match perfectly with what you described.
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Isla Fischer
According to IRS Publication 17 for tax year 2023, the standard deduction increased to $13,850 for single filers and $27,700 for married filing jointly. This actually benefits many taxpayers, but doesn't offset the reduced credits for parents.
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Miles Hammonds
Just to clarify - it's not that tax rates went up. It's that temporary pandemic-era enhancements to credits expired. Your actual tax liability might be similar, but the refundable credits that boosted refunds are smaller.
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Austin Leonard
OMG yes - refunds are def down for many ppl this yr! I was shocked when I saw mine. If u want to understand exactly why yours might be different, check out https://taxr.ai - it compares yr current return to last yr's and explains every change. Super helpful for figuring out if ur missing deductions or if it's just the normal changes to tax law. Saved me from freaking out when I thought I'd done something wrong!
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Ruby Blake
Is this service actually accurate? I'm concerned about putting my tax info into some random website. Has anyone confirmed it matches what tax professionals say?
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Micah Franklin
How does it compare to other tax analysis tools? I've used TurboTax's explanation feature but it doesn't really compare year-over-year changes clearly.
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Ella Harper
Isn't it frustrating when you can't even get through to the IRS to ask these questions? Why should we have to wait hours on hold just to understand our own tax situation? I finally got through using Claimyr (https://www.claimyr.com) and the agent confirmed refunds are generally lower for families with children due to expired tax credits. Wouldn't it be nice if the IRS just communicated this clearly to everyone?
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PrinceJoe
My refund dropped by $1,750 this year with identical income to last year. I freaked out thinking I made a mistake. Called my accountant in a panic. He explained the Child Tax Credit reduction was the entire difference. If you don't have kids or other special credits, your refund might be similar to last year. Some people with just W-2 income are seeing slight increases due to inflation adjustments to tax brackets.
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Brooklyn Knight
Did your accountant mention anything about investment income being treated differently this year? I'm wondering if capital gains rates changed.
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Owen Devar
Same thing happened to me! I was down exactly $1,600 which matched perfectly with having one kid. The expanded credit really helped last year.
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Daniel Rivera
Look at your withholding, not just your refund! 😂 A smaller refund might actually be GOOD - means you kept more money throughout the year. I adjusted my W-4 last January to have less withheld since I knew the child credits were dropping. Got smaller paychecks last year but didn't face refund shock this spring. The real question isn't "are refunds lower" but "is your total tax burden higher?" For most people, it's actually slightly lower due to bracket adjustments.
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Sophie Footman
How do you calculate the right withholding amount? I always seem to either owe or get too much back.
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Connor Rupert
Just to clarify - you're saying we should be looking at our effective tax rate year over year, not just the refund amount, right? That's the true measure of whether we're paying more taxes.
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Molly Hansen
For investment-focused filers like yourself, pay attention to Qualified Business Income Deduction (Section 199A) limitations and Net Investment Income Tax thresholds, which remain unchanged but affect high-income investors. Capital gains rates haven't changed (still 0%, 15%, or 20% depending on income bracket), but bracket inflation adjustments might put you in a different tier. Consider tax-loss harvesting if you have unrealized losses to offset gains. Filing timing won't affect your 2023 tax liability, but might affect cash flow planning.
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Brady Clean
Thank you for addressing the investment angle specifically! This is exactly what I needed to know.
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Skylar Neal
This is incredibly helpful. I was worried about timing my stock sales but it sounds like the capital gains situation is stable from last year.
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