FAFSA 25-26 SAI estimate jumped from negative to 1500 - will it change after processing?
Super confused right now! We submitted my son's FAFSA for 24-25 back in November and got a NEGATIVE SAI (yay!). Just finished the 25-26 application last night and the immediate estimate shows an SAI of like $1,450! Nothing about our financial situation has changed AT ALL between applications - same income, same assets, same everything. I'm freaking out because this could seriously impact his aid package. Does anyone know if these initial SAI estimates can change once the application is fully processed? The 24-25 estimate was spot-on compared to the final number, so I'm really worried. Could there be some glitch with the new FAFSA system? Or did they change the formula for 25-26? Help!!
25 comments


Sarah Ali
The initial SAI estimate you see immediately after submitting is typically quite accurate, but there are several reasons your 25-26 number might be different from your 24-25 result: 1. The FAFSA formula was updated for 25-26 applications with some significant changes to how they calculate need 2. The income protection allowances increased, but so did some multipliers in the formula 3. If your student has any siblings whose college status changed, that can dramatically impact your SAI 4. Sometimes small differences in how you entered information can cause unexpected changes I'd recommend downloading both SAI calculation worksheets when they become available and comparing them line by line to identify what changed. Your final processed SAI could adjust slightly, but typically not by huge amounts unless there's a verification issue.
0 coins
Megan D'Acosta
•Thanks for the detailed reply! I didn't realize they updated the formula again for 25-26. My younger daughter is actually starting college next fall too, but I thought having TWO in college would LOWER our SAI, not raise it? The crazy thing is I triple-checked all our income and asset info and it's identical to last year. I'll definitely compare those worksheets once we get them. How long does it usually take to get the final processed SAI these days?
0 coins
Ryan Vasquez
SAME THING HAPPENED TO US!!! Our 24-25 was -$2300 and our 25-26 estimate came back at $890. Nothing changed for us either and I used the exact same tax return for both applications. I think its the new FAFSA being weird again. All the changes they've made have been a complete disaster imho
0 coins
Megan D'Acosta
•Omg so I'm not alone!! Have you gotten your final processed SAI yet or are you still waiting? I'm wondering if we should contact the financial aid office at my son's school to ask about this...
0 coins
Ryan Vasquez
•still waiting!!! submitted 3 weeks ago and nothing. my daughter's school said they can't do anything until they get the official ISIR from federal student aid. this whole process is SO FRUSTRATING!!!
0 coins
Avery Saint
The formula definitely changed for 25-26 applications. The biggest shifts are: 1. They adjusted how they calculate the income protection allowance 2. Changed the asset protection allowance 3. Modified the assessment rates for student income 4. Changed how multiple students in college affects the calculation For that last point - having multiple students in college doesn't provide as much benefit as it used to. In the old formula, your EFC was essentially divided by the number of college students. In the new formula, the impact is more complex and generally less beneficial for families with multiple students. Also worth noting: your final processed SAI can absolutely change from the initial estimate, especially if your application gets selected for verification.
0 coins
Taylor Chen
•wait what?? they got rid of the benefit for having multiple kids in college?? thats how my brother and i both managed to afford our school! this is ridiculous!
0 coins
Avery Saint
•They didn't completely eliminate it, but they significantly reduced the benefit compared to previous years. It's one of the more controversial changes in the new formula. The rationale was that the old system sometimes gave too much benefit to higher-income families with multiple students in college. But many families who were counting on that adjustment are seeing unexpected increases in their SAI numbers.
0 coins
Keith Davidson
Have you tried calling Federal Student Aid directly to ask about the discrepancy? I was having similar issues with our SAI calculation last month and spent DAYS trying to get through on their phone line. I finally used Claimyr (claimyr.com) and got connected to an agent in under 20 minutes who explained exactly what was happening with our application. They have a video showing how it works: https://youtu.be/TbC8dZQWYNQ The agent explained that there were specific changes to the formula for 25-26 that were causing lots of families to see increases. She was able to go through our application line by line and confirmed everything was entered correctly. In our case, it was just the new formula giving us a higher number.
0 coins
Megan D'Acosta
•I've been trying to call them all week! Constantly getting busy signals or disconnected. I'll check out that service - at this point I just need to talk to someone who can explain what's happening. Did they tell you if there's any way to appeal the higher SAI? My son had his heart set on his top choice school but this could put it out of reach.
0 coins
Keith Davidson
•Yes, definitely talk to someone at FSA first to make sure everything's accurate. After that, you can also submit a special circumstances appeal directly to your son's college financial aid office if you have any hardships or unusual expenses that aren't reflected on the FAFSA. Each school handles these differently, but many have forms on their financial aid websites. The college has discretion to adjust your aid based on circumstances not captured in the standard formula.
0 coins
Ezra Bates
my daughters sai went UP by almost $2000 between the 2 years and literally nothing changed for us either!!! i think the whole system is rigged tbh. we make just enough to not qualify for good aid but nowhere near enough to actually pay what they expect. so frustrated with this entire process!!
0 coins
Ana Erdoğan
•It's definitely not rigged, but it is complex and has changed significantly. The new FAFSA formula for 25-26 aims to make aid more accessible to very low-income families, but that means some middle-income families are seeing increases. Remember that the SAI is just one part of the financial aid picture. Each college uses this number differently in their aid formulas, so a higher SAI doesn't automatically mean less aid at every school. Some colleges meet 100% of demonstrated need regardless of your SAI.
0 coins
Ezra Bates
•maybe rigged is the wrong word but it feels like the middle class always gets squeezed!! my neighbor makes like 40k less than us and gets everything covered but we're expected to somehow come up with $25k a year?? make it make sense!!
0 coins
Sophia Carson
Check if maybe you entered something differently this time? I accidentally put an extra digit in our mortgage and it shot our SAI through the roof. Once I fixed it and resubmitted, it went back down.
0 coins
Megan D'Acosta
•I triple-checked all the numbers and they're exactly the same as what we submitted for 24-25. I even used the same exact tax returns for both applications (since 25-26 still uses 2022 taxes). It's so frustrating that there's no way to see WHY the calculation changed.
0 coins
Sarah Ali
After your application is fully processed, you'll receive a Student Aid Report (SAR) that includes your official SAI. This can differ from the estimate for several reasons: 1. The initial estimate is based solely on the information you provided 2. The processed SAI incorporates verification against IRS data 3. Some error corrections might be automatically applied If you're seeing a dramatic change in SAI despite similar circumstances, I strongly recommend comparing your 24-25 SAR with your 25-26 SAR when you receive it to identify the specific differences. Also contact each college's financial aid office - they often have institutional funds they can use to help bridge unexpected gaps like this. For the 25-26 FAFSA, most people are seeing processing times of 3-5 weeks before receiving their official SAI.
0 coins
Megan D'Acosta
•Thank you - I'll wait for the official SAR and then compare them. I just hate having this hanging over our heads while my son is trying to make his final college decision. Fingers crossed the official number comes back lower than the estimate!
0 coins
Ryan Vasquez
Update: got our official SAI today and it actually went DOWN from the estimate!! From $890 to $650. still higher than last year but better than the estimate at least
0 coins
Megan D'Acosta
•That's encouraging! How long did it take from submission to getting your official number? We're on day 12 of waiting...
0 coins
Ryan Vasquez
•exactly 3 weeks and 2 days. feels like it took FOREVER with all the stress of wondering what the final number would be
0 coins
Klaus Schmidt
I'm going through the exact same thing! My daughter's SAI jumped from around -$800 for 24-25 to $1,200 for 25-26 and I was panicking. Like others have mentioned, it seems like the formula changes are hitting a lot of families unexpectedly. One thing that helped me was realizing that even though the SAI increased, some schools are also adjusting their aid policies to account for these changes. I called my daughter's top choice school and they said they're aware many families are seeing higher SAIs this year and they're taking that into consideration when packaging aid. Also, don't forget that you can always submit a special circumstances appeal if you have any expenses or situations that aren't reflected in the FAFSA - things like high medical bills, job loss, or even just the fact that the formula change is creating unexpected hardship. It's worth a shot! Hang in there - this whole process is so stressful but there are usually options available once you dig deeper.
0 coins
Miranda Singer
•This is so helpful to hear! I hadn't thought about calling the schools directly to ask how they're handling the formula changes. That's actually a really smart approach. My son's school has been pretty responsive to questions so far, so I'll definitely reach out to them. The special circumstances appeal is also a great suggestion - I wonder if we could argue that the unexpected formula change itself created a hardship since we were budgeting based on last year's numbers. Thanks for the encouragement - it's nice to know we're not the only ones dealing with this mess!
0 coins
QuantumLeap
I'm dealing with this exact same situation! Just submitted my daughter's FAFSA for 25-26 and our SAI estimate went from around -$400 last year to $980 this year. Same income, same assets, everything identical. It's so stressful because we were counting on similar aid to what we got for 24-25. Reading through all these comments is both reassuring (that we're not alone) and terrifying (that this seems to be happening to a lot of families). I think I'm going to try that Claimyr service someone mentioned to actually get through to FSA and get some answers. Has anyone had luck with the special circumstances appeals at their schools? I'm wondering if the formula change itself could be grounds for an appeal, especially for families who were budgeting based on previous years' aid packages.
0 coins
Axel Bourke
•You're definitely not alone in this! I'm new to this whole FAFSA process (my oldest is a high school senior), but reading through all these experiences is both eye-opening and nerve-wracking. It sounds like the formula changes for 25-26 are catching a lot of families off guard who were planning based on previous years' numbers. From what I'm gathering here, it seems like the key steps are: 1) Wait for the official processed SAI to see if it's different from the estimate, 2) Contact the schools directly to understand how they're handling these formula changes, and 3) Consider special circumstances appeals if needed. Has anyone found any official documentation from the Department of Education explaining exactly what changed in the formula? It would be helpful to understand the "why" behind these increases so we can better advocate for our kids with the financial aid offices.
0 coins