Why is my Tax Refund Down by $900 in 2025? Much lower than expected
I'm pretty frustrated right now. I typically receive around $1,300 back as a tax refund each year. But this year I'm only getting back $130! What gives?? I had a small $35 penalty for an early 401k withdrawal when I left my job and that account was closed out. My total income for the year was $39,570.23, and I paid $2,480.65 in federal taxes throughout the year. I can't understand why my refund is so much lower! I feel like FreeTaxUSA has everything completely screwed up because this makes absolutely no sense. Did something major change with the tax code this year? Anyone else experiencing a massive drop in their refund amount?
18 comments


Nia Harris
The drop in your refund doesn't necessarily mean something is wrong with your tax preparation. There are several common reasons why your refund might be significantly lower this year: 1. Your withholding might have changed. If you had less tax withheld from your paychecks throughout the year (which you can see on your W-2), you'd get a smaller refund even if your overall tax situation stayed the same. This often happens when you update your W-4 or your employer adjusts withholding tables. 2. Did you have any changes in tax credits or deductions? If you previously qualified for certain credits (like Education credits, Child Tax Credit, Earned Income Credit) and no longer do, that would significantly impact your refund. 3. That 401k withdrawal, even with just a $35 penalty, means the actual withdrawal amount counts as taxable income, which could push you into a different tax bracket. Have you compared your actual tax liability between last year and this year? That's the real number to look at, not just the refund amount.
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GalacticGuardian
•I didn't make any changes to my W-4 that I'm aware of. My job situation was pretty much the same all year until I quit in November. The 401k withdrawal was only about $700 total. I don't qualify for education credits and don't have kids. I'm single and just take the standard deduction. How do I compare my tax liability between years? Is that something I can see in the tax software? I'm just really confused because everything seemed the same as last year to me.
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Nia Harris
•To compare your tax liability between years, look at Line 24 on Form 1040 which shows your "Total Tax" - that's what you actually owe before accounting for withholding. Compare that number from last year to this year. This will tell you if you're actually paying more tax or just had different withholding. Since you mentioned quitting in November, that's actually significant. Having less income in the last part of the year can throw off your withholding calculations. When withholding happens throughout the year, it assumes you'll make that same amount all year. If you stop working early, you may have had too little withheld proportionally for the income you did earn.
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Mateo Gonzalez
I had almost the exact same issue last year and it was driving me crazy until I used https://taxr.ai to analyze my returns from both years. Uploaded both returns and it highlighted that my employer had been withholding at a different rate without me noticing - that was the entire difference! The tool breaks everything down line by line and shows exactly what changed between your returns. It saved me from filing an amended return I didn't actually need. Since you're comparing returns between years, it might help identify exactly what's different in your situation.
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Aisha Ali
•Does it actually work with the FreeTaxUSA exports? I tried something similar last year but it couldn't read my tax file format. Also, is it secure? I'm always worried about uploading financial docs online.
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Ethan Moore
•How does the comparison feature actually work? I'm having a similar issue where my refund dropped by about $1200 with seemingly no changes in my financial situation.
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Mateo Gonzalez
•It works with all major tax prep formats including FreeTaxUSA. You can export the PDF version of your completed return and upload that. I was hesitant about security too, but they use bank-level encryption for all uploads, and you can delete your documents after analysis if you prefer. The comparison feature is actually really straightforward. Once you upload returns from both years, it creates a side-by-side analysis showing each line item and highlighting where the differences are. In my case, it immediately showed that my withholding rate had changed by about 3% which accounted for nearly all of my "missing" refund. It also flags unusual changes or potential errors that might need attention.
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Ethan Moore
Just wanted to update - I tried taxr.ai after posting my question and it was really helpful! Found out my employer had adjusted their withholding calculations after some tax law changes, which resulted in less being withheld each paycheck. The tool showed that my actual tax liability only changed by $50, but my withholding was down by over $1100 compared to last year. No wonder my refund was smaller! Saved me from making an angry call to HR thinking they messed something up.
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Yuki Nakamura
If you're not getting anywhere with figuring this out, you might want to try calling the IRS directly. I know it sounds like a nightmare (because it usually is), but I used https://claimyr.com and actually got through to a real person in about 10 minutes! There's a demo of how it works here: https://youtu.be/_kiP6q8DX5c I had a similar issue where my refund was way off what I expected, and the IRS agent was able to pull up my previous returns and explain exactly what changed. Turns out I had a credit applied last year that I wasn't eligible for this year. The agent even helped me understand if there was anything I could do for next year to improve my situation.
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StarSurfer
•Wait, are you serious? I spent THREE HOURS on hold with the IRS last month and never got through. How exactly does this service work? Seems too good to be true.
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Carmen Reyes
•I'm calling BS on this. Nothing can get you through to the IRS that quickly. They're famously impossible to reach, especially during tax season. Sounds like someone's trying to make a quick buck off desperate people.
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Yuki Nakamura
•The service basically calls the IRS for you and navigates all the initial phone menus, then waits on hold in your place. When they actually reach a human agent, you get a call connecting you directly to that agent. So you skip the hold time completely. It worked exactly as advertised for me. I understand the skepticism - I felt the same way. But after trying for days to get through on my own, I was desperate enough to try it. The whole thing took maybe 15 minutes of my time vs the hours I had already wasted.
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Carmen Reyes
I have to eat crow and admit I was completely wrong about Claimyr. After posting my skeptical comment, I decided to try it myself since I also needed to talk to the IRS about a letter I received. Not only did it work, but I was connected to an agent in about 15 minutes while I was just going about my day. The agent confirmed that withholding tables changed slightly this year, which is affecting a lot of people's refunds. She also checked if there were any issues with my previous returns (there weren't). Definitely worth it just for the time saved and stress reduction!
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Andre Moreau
Check if you had any life changes that might affect your tax situation: marriage status, dependents, additional income sources, etc. Also, did you get any advance payments for tax credits last year that you didn't get this year? Those can make a huge difference in your refund amount. Another thing to consider: did you have any investment income or capital gains? Those are taxed differently and could explain the change.
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GalacticGuardian
•Nothing changed really. Still single, no kids, same job until November. I don't have investments other than my 401k. That's why I'm so confused and frustrated. Thanks for the suggestions though.
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Andre Moreau
•One other thought - the timing of when you left your job in November could be significant. If you were making, say, $3,300 per month and expected to earn $39,600 for the full year, your withholding would be calculated based on that projection. But if you only worked until November, you earned less than projected, but your withholding was calculated as if you'd earn more. This can actually result in OVERWITHHOLDING for each paycheck, which usually means a BIGGER refund, not smaller. So that makes your situation even more puzzling. Something else must be at play here.
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Zoe Christodoulou
Has anyone checked if there were changes to the tax withholding tables for 2024/2025? I remember this happened a few years back and suddenly everyone's refunds were different even though their situations hadn't changed.
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Nia Harris
•You're absolutely right. The IRS did adjust withholding tables slightly, which affects how much is taken out of each paycheck. It's supposed to make withholding more accurate (closer to your actual tax liability), which ironically means smaller refunds for many people. A refund is just the government returning money you overpaid throughout the year - it's not a bonus or benefit. If your withholding is more accurate, your refunds will be smaller but you'll have more money in each paycheck. Many people don't notice the slightly larger paychecks but definitely notice the smaller refund.
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